Geopolitical Futures

Geopolitical Futures (GPF) was founded in 2015 by George Friedman, international strategist and author of The Storm Before the Calm and The Next 100 Years. GPF is non-ideological, analyzes the world and forecasts the future using geopolitics: political, economic, military and geographic dimensions at the foundation of a nation.

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Daily Memo: Xi-Modi Meeting, Russia’s Slowdown

China and India. Chinese President Xi Jinping and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi held talks on the sidelines of the BRICS summit on Wednesday, just days after the two countries agreed on a new “patrolling arrangement” to ease tensions along their disputed Himalayan border. During the meeting, Xi stressed the need to enhance mutual trust […]

Daily Memo: Russia’s Defense Exports, North Korean Arms Supplies

Barriers to delivery. The head of Russia’s state-owned Rostec defense corporation, Sergei Chemezov, said the firm could stop exporting high-tech products, in part because of Russia’s high interest rate,...

Daily Memo: US Envoy in Beirut, Australian Weapons Acquisition

Trip to Lebanon. A senior adviser to U.S. President Joe Biden, Amos Hochstein, arrived in Beirut on Monday for talks with Lebanese officials on a resolution to the conflict...

Daily Memo: Iran and Hamas Hold Talks, Syria Signals Hesitation

Iran and Hamas. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi met with senior Hamas officials in Istanbul over the weekend. The meeting was attended by the head of Hamas’ consultative council,...

The Rise of Russia’s Shadow Fleet

(click to enlarge) For decades, Russian exports centered on raw materials, primarily oil and gas, with the European Union as the key buyer. Oil revenues directly funded Moscow's budget, making...

Daily Memo: China’s Third-Quarter Economic Results

Slow growth. China’s gross domestic product grew by 4.6 percent year over year in the third quarter, the slowest pace of Chinese economic growth since early 2023. According to...

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Population Density of Canada

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Canada is one of those countries where a vast land mass obscures the fact that the country has a relatively small population. While Canada is the second largest country in the world, its 35 million inhabitants make Canada only the 39th most populated country.

Live Updates on Ukraine War

All times are approximate local time in Kyiv (GMT+2). Friday, March 11 11:30 a.m.: The EU's foreign policy chief said the bloc would double its spending...

How the Ukraine War Will Likely End

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As we consider how the war in Ukraine will end, we must first understand how it began. Russia invaded for geostrategic reasons – having...