Geopolitical Futures

Initial proposal. Washington is pushing for a “framework agreement” with Tehran to bring an end to the war in Iran, Israel’s Channel 12 reported, citing sources familiar with the matter. Under the plan, both countries would begin discussions on a 15-point proposal to end the fighting completely, following a month-long ceasefire. This proposal would require […]

Denials. Iranian officials and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps denied reports of negotiations with the United States on ending their war. Separately, Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian spoke by phone...

Ground operation options. The U.S. is considering several scenarios for a limited ground operation in Iran, anonymous sources told NBC News. One option includes deploying U.S. troops to Iranian...

(click to enlarge) Cuba's energy crisis has been going on for years but is now taking on a geopolitical dimension. The country's electricity infrastructure has two major vulnerabilities: fuel supply...

Belarusian rapprochement. The U.S. will remove sanctions on two key Belarusian fertilizer producers amid disruptions in global supplies related to the Iran war. The announcement came following Belarusian President...

Almost three weeks ago, the U.S. and Israel launched air strikes against Iran. Whether this will be a short or a long war is the question on everyone's minds. Considering there are many more questions ranging from what's to come of the Strait of Hormuz chokepoint to how the conflict is impacting and involving nations like China and Russia, for this week's live discussion we have focused entirely on Club member questions. GPF Analysts Kamran Bokhari and Andrew Davidson joined Chairman George Friedman for an in-depth discussion on the war, where Club members asked about important themes such as Iran's protracted war strategy, U.S. military imperatives and what the IRGC would consider 'victory' in the conflict.