Your Source for
Geopolitical Forecasting

Analyzing the forces that drive nations’ behavior

  • Daily Memos
  • Briefs
  • Analyses
  • Forecasts

What We Provide

Our forecasts and George Friedman’s books -The Next 100 Years (2009), The Next Decade (2011), Flashpoints (2015) – accurately predicted the economic and political crisis in the EU, the economic decline in China, the re-emergence of Russia in the mid 2010s, and the ensuing confrontation over Ukraine in 2014. We laid out what challenges the United States would face and in The Storm Before the Calm (2020) predicted that the 2020s would be a crisis decade for America. We write for the “learned public”: those who want to understand the world they live in and are citizens of every country.

Unbiased, Objective Reports

We give you a radically non-ideological perspective, based on a different view of the world. Our selection of what’s important derives from geopolitical trends, not from the media or online chatter.

Intelligence Analysis

We use intelligence analysis to discover the small things that will define the future. Geopolitics defines the broad thrusts; intelligence analysis tracks its movements.

Successful Forecasting

Our forecasting model is based on the assumption that impersonal forces – things like geography, politics, economics, military capability and demography – govern world leaders, not the other way around. It’s an important distinction you don’t see anywhere else.

Forecasts

Geopolitical Forecasts

Geopolitical Futures predicts the actions nations will take based on global cycles and patterns of conflict. Our annual forecast highlights processes that will have lasting consequences and broad geopolitical impact.
Our forecast:

  1. Reveals the underlying forces driving global behavior
  2. Explains how the present fits into longer-term geopolitical processes
  3. Shows which countries are on the rise
  4. Anticipates shifts in the global economy and trade

Regional Directory

Understanding Our Geopolitical Model

1
Information Collection

Extensive open-source information collection keeps us abreast of world events no matter how obscure. It draws from English and foreign language sources and includes traditional media as well as government, institutional and other primary source report from all over the world.

2
Strategic Intelligence

We make sense of the world by overlaying collected information with our model. Our model tells us how to expect a country to behave based on what it must have in order to remain secure, the limits imposed on it and the means at its disposal to take action.

3
Net Assessment

The net assessment is the current snapshot of a country’s position and power at a particular moment in time.  It reflects the realities facing a country in terms of what cannot be done and what must be done in the present, thereby enabling us to predict its future behavior.

Our Content

As a Geopolitical Futures subscriber, you’ll receive regular updates on what’s important today and what’s to come in the future. This includes real-time Briefs on the world’s most pressing geopolitical events, daily in-depth Analysis from our global team of analysts, and a concise Daily Memo to give you exactly what is geopolitically important today.

Understand the Issues That Are Shaping the World's Future

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Subscriber

$ 49 /yr
then $79 annually
 
  • Access to all content
  • Daily Geopolitical Analysis
  • Annual Geopolitical Forecast
  • Forecast Insights

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$ 299 /yr

$249 (Club Membership) +
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  • Access to all content
  • Daily Geopolitical Analysis
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  • Forecast Insights
  • Special Report:
    The World Explained in Maps
    Club Member Perks
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  • Access to Video Salon
    View exclusive videos and recorded video discussions
  • Other exclusive content
    Includes Podcasts+ and a Map room

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