Your Source for
Geopolitical Forecasting
Analyzing the forces that drive nations’ behavior
- Daily Memos
- Briefs
- Analyses
- Forecasts
What We Provide
Our forecasts and George Friedman’s books -The Next 100 Years (2009), The Next Decade (2011), Flashpoints (2015) – accurately predicted the economic and political crisis in the EU, the economic decline in China, the re-emergence of Russia in the mid 2010s, and the ensuing confrontation over Ukraine in 2014. We laid out what challenges the United States would face and in The Storm Before the Calm (2020) predicted that the 2020s would be a crisis decade for America. We write for the “learned public”: those who want to understand the world they live in and are citizens of every country.
Unbiased, Objective Reports
We give you a radically non-ideological perspective, based on a different view of the world. Our selection of what’s important derives from geopolitical trends, not from the media or online chatter.
Intelligence Analysis
We use intelligence analysis to discover the small things that will define the future. Geopolitics defines the broad thrusts; intelligence analysis tracks its movements.
Successful Forecasting
Our forecasting model is based on the assumption that impersonal forces – things like geography, politics, economics, military capability and demography – govern world leaders, not the other way around. It’s an important distinction you don’t see anywhere else.
Forecasts
Geopolitical Forecasts
Geopolitical Futures predicts the actions nations will take based on global cycles and patterns of conflict. Our annual forecast highlights processes that will have lasting consequences and broad geopolitical impact.
Our forecast:
- Reveals the underlying forces driving global behavior
- Explains how the present fits into longer-term geopolitical processes
- Shows which countries are on the rise
- Anticipates shifts in the global economy and trade
Regional Directory
Understanding Our Geopolitical Model
| 1 |
Information CollectionExtensive open-source information collection keeps us abreast of world events no matter how obscure. It draws from English and foreign language sources and includes traditional media as well as government, institutional and other primary source report from all over the world. |
| 2 |
Strategic IntelligenceWe make sense of the world by overlaying collected information with our model. Our model tells us how to expect a country to behave based on what it must have in order to remain secure, the limits imposed on it and the means at its disposal to take action. |
| 3 |
Net AssessmentThe net assessment is the current snapshot of a country’s position and power at a particular moment in time. It reflects the realities facing a country in terms of what cannot be done and what must be done in the present, thereby enabling us to predict its future behavior. |
Our Content
As a Geopolitical Futures subscriber, you’ll receive regular updates on what’s important today and what’s to come in the future. This includes real-time Briefs on the world’s most pressing geopolitical events, daily in-depth Analysis from our global team of analysts, and a concise Daily Memo to give you exactly what is geopolitically important today.
– Brief –
View Free Samples
More Russian Weapons Headed for Belarus
Redrawing Georgia
US-Mexican Relations go South
– Analysis –
View Free Samples
For the US and China, There’s No Going Back
Arab Recognition of Israel Redefines the Middle East
Life After Brexit
Understand the Issues That Are Shaping the World's Future
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then $79 annually
- Access to all content
- Daily Geopolitical Analysis
- Annual Geopolitical Forecast
- Forecast Insights
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- Daily Geopolitical Analysis
- Annual Geopolitical Forecast
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The Geopolitics of the American President