The items listed below represent potential emerging issues that our analysts are tracking. These can be long term or short term, but will be updated daily. If an item on our Watch List becomes critical, we will email you a full analysis explaining its significance.
Each Saturday, we will follow up our daily Watch List for each week with our conclusions on these issues.
Turkey, Iraq: Turkey’s foreign minister said the Turkish and Iraqi governments had reached a consensus on a potential offensive in Iraq. The joint operation would target Kurds in Iraq and would be launched sometime after Iraqi elections in May. The timing coincides with the planned conclusion of Turkey’s operations in Afrin. Meanwhile, Turkey and the United States are meeting in Washington on March 8-9 to discuss Syria and Iraq, particularly the mostly Kurdish militia known as the People’s Protection Units, or YPG. The Kurds are a constant sticking point in the U.S.-Turkey relationship, so we need to see if