The items listed below represent potential emerging issues that our analysts are tracking. These can be long term or short term, but will be updated daily. If an item on our Watch List becomes critical, we will email you a full analysis explaining its significance. Each Saturday, we will follow up our daily Watch List for each week with our conclusions on these issues. Russia: State-owned TV channel Russia-1 reported that 1,000 people protested against price hikes for subsidized public transportation passes in Yekaterinburg. Many small indicators of regional political and economic instability are popping up, and this is another to add to the list. Let’s break down the protests by issue, size and identity of the demonstrators and add this to our general model of Russia. Germany: German’s second-largest bank, Commerzbank, released 2016 financial data today, and the press is focusing on the large reduction of Commerzbank’s profits from 2015. We are constantly watching developments in Germany, and we scrutinized Deutsche Bank figures when they came out a few weeks ago. Let’s do the same with Commerzbank. China: The South China Morning Post, citing the Beijing Daily, stated that President Xi Jinping has appointed his protégé and current Beijing […]

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