Crisis In Ukraine

The war in Ukraine isn’t just a Ukrainian affair. It has the potential to fundamentally reshape the global landscape. In some ways it already has: Germany is rearming, NATO has awakened, commodities prices are through the roof, and Russia is increasingly isolated. The extent to which the global order changes will depend largely on how long the conflict drags out.

Recent Analysis: Ukraine

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Russia’s Deteriorating Internal Security

On April 25, a lieutenant general in the Russian military was killed in Balashikha, a town located near Moscow. A few months earlier, the...

Daily Memo: Updates on Russia-Ukraine and India-Pakistan

Kursk update. North Korea confirmed for the first time that it deployed troops to Russia to fight against Ukraine. According to state news agency...

How Wars End

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Wars – which I will define broadly as matters of military conflict sustained partly by the nature of the soldiers fighting and partly by...

Daily Memo: Tensions in Kashmir

Exchanging fire. The Pakistani army on Friday reportedly opened fire across the Line of Control in India-controlled Kashmir amid escalating friction between the two...

Daily Memo: Another Round of Ukraine Talks

More talks. A new round of negotiations over the fate of Ukraine began in London on April 23, with the United States, the United...

Daily Memo: Japanese Support for Ukraine, French Presence in Syria

Intelligence-sharing. Japan has agreed to provide Ukraine with satellite-based geospatial data, including radar imagery obtained from Synthetic Aperture Radar satellites. It’s the first time...

The Trump-Putin Negotiations

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I normally avoid personalizing geopolitical events, since I regard nations, not leaders, to be the agents of history. But there are moments when the...

Daily Memo: Update on the Nuclear Talks

Nuclear news. The second round of indirect talks between Tehran and Washington over Iran’s nuclear program is underway in Rome. According to Iranian media,...

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How Wars End

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Podcasts

George Friedman: Why Putin Has Lost the War in Ukraine

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After Donald Trump and Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s Oval Office bust up, you might think the war in Ukraine is going rather well for Vladimir Putin. But, according to Geopolitical Futures Chairman George Friedman, the Russian president has already lost the war. Tune in to this new podcast from Geopolitical Futures as Friedman explains Russia’s failure, why he thinks Trump is buttering up Putin, and what he thinks of the press conference heard round the world and the decision to pause U.S. military aid for Ukraine.

The Leighton Smith Podcast: George Friedman on Storms, Wars and the Potential for Peace

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On this episode of NewstalkZB's Leighton Smith Podcast, GPF Chairman George Friedman is in studio to discuss the current wars raging in the Middle East and Ukraine, how peace might come to Ukraine, as well as the role of space in warfare.

Antonia Colibasanu on The John Batchelor Show: Romania, Moldova, and Ukrainian Reconstruction

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What role do Romania and Moldova, who are also on the front lines of the war in Ukraine, play in the war-torn country's reconstruction efforts? Antonia Colibasanu joined John Batchelor to discuss efforts being made by their governments and NGOs, and how to keep these efforts going as funding becomes more strained in the process.

Daily Memo: Russia’s Economic Outlook, Syria Talks

Russian economics. Russia’s central bank governor, Elvira Nabiullina, said another interest rate hike in December is possible, after the bank raised the key rate...

Daily Memo: Developments in Syria

Diplomatic efforts. Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov spoke by phone with his Turkish and Iranian counterparts about the situation in Syria, where rebels (including...

Videos

George Friedman Reacts to Comments: Putin’s Weakness, Trump’s Strategy, and NATO’s Future

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George Friedman returns to the Mauldin Economics' Global Macro Update to explain why Russia cannot realistically wage war in Europe, NATO's diminishing relevance, and how the current flurry of activity in the White House compares to Roosevelt's first hundred days in office.

George Friedman: Why Putin Has Lost the War in Ukraine

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After Donald Trump and Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s Oval Office bust up, you might think the war in Ukraine is going rather well for Vladimir Putin. But, according to Geopolitical Futures Chairman George Friedman, the Russian president has already lost the war. Tune in to this new podcast from Geopolitical Futures as Friedman explains Russia’s failure, why he thinks Trump is buttering up Putin, and what he thinks of the press conference heard round the world and the decision to pause U.S. military aid for Ukraine.

Global Security Challenges – A U.S. Military Perspective | ClubGPF Preview with George Friedman and Colonel Scott Leonard

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From the war in Ukraine, instability in the Middle East, and the potential for conflict in the Pacific, the U.S. military is involved to a certain degree in a variety of operations. In this ClubGPF live discussion, Colonel Scott Leonard, Chief of Staff to the Commandant of the U.S. Marine Corps (ret) joined GPF Chairman George Friedman to discuss global security challenges from a U.S. military perspective.