Crisis In Ukraine

The war in Ukraine isn’t just a Ukrainian affair. It has the potential to fundamentally reshape the global landscape. In some ways it already has: Germany is rearming, NATO has awakened, commodities prices are through the roof, and Russia is increasingly isolated. The extent to which the global order changes will depend largely on how long the conflict drags out.

Recent Analysis: Ukraine

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Daily Memo: US Plans for Venezuela, Russian Frozen Assets in Europe

Escalation. U.S. President Donald Trump ordered a ā€œtotal and complete blockadeā€ of sanctioned oil tankers traveling to and from Venezuela, a week after the...

Daily Memo: European Governments Propose Guarantees for Ukraine

European commitment. The leaders of 14 European nations released a statement outlining the security guarantees that they, in addition to the United States, are...

Russia’s Escalation in the Black Sea Has Turkey on Edge

Pressure is building on Ukraine and Russia to end their nearly four-year war, setting off a scramble for leverage that is unnerving some of...

The European Crisis: Origin and Future

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The release of the 2025 U.S. National Security Strategy has brought into focus a fundamental tension that has been simmering since before President Donald...

Daily Memo: Russia-Ukraine Resolution, Taiwan-Israel Ties

Postwar agenda. The United States has sent to its European partners a series of documents outlining a plan for Ukraine’s reconstruction and Russia’s return...

Daily Memo: New Caucasus Transport Route, Russia-India Defense Ties

Work ahead. Construction on the Trump Route for International Peace and Prosperity will begin in 2026, Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan announced. He also...

Living Through War in the Black Sea

The winter in Moscow is as dark and nasty as ever, so at the end of November, I made the 1,500-kilometer (930-mile) trip south...

George Answers Your Questions: On America’s Reliability, Immigration and Education

Note: A reminder to send in questions and comments for George to answer. He can’t answer them if you don’t send them in –...

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Podcasts

Ukraine Isn’t the Only Frontline In Russia’s War Against the West

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Russia's war with Ukraine is about to enter yet another winter. Meanwhile in the US, Donald Trump is turning his attention to Russia's southern border in an effort to woo the nations of the South Caucasus with diplomacy. What are the US' goals and what does it hope to gain in pulling these nations closer while Russia is distracted in its fight against NATO to the West? Talking Geopolitics host Christian Smith is joined by GPF Chairman George Friedman to make sense of the latest developments.

George Friedman on Putin’s NATO Provocations and Poland’s Emerging Power

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Already this month, Russia has violated the airspace of three NATO countries: Estonia, Romania and Poland - twice. What is Russian President Vladimir Putin trying to achieve with these bold moves, and what impact might they have on Ukraine negotiations? GPF Chairman George Friedman joined host Christian Smith to discuss the latest geopolitical developments in the region as well as outline his forecast for Poland's evolution from his 2009 book,Ā The Next 100 Years.

Should Europe Fear Russia? George Friedman and Antonia Colibasanu from Romania

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The U.S. decision to recuse itself from European security has created something of a crisis on the continent. America wants European countries to pick up their own defense spending and focus on their own region, following Vladimir Putin's 2022 invasion of Ukraine. So what’s the feeling in Europe about the risks countries there face from Russia? How are they navigating those threats? And do Americans and Europeans see them in the same way?

Daily Memo: Russia’s Economic Outlook, Syria Talks

Russian economics. Russia’s central bank governor, Elvira Nabiullina, said another interest rate hike in December is possible, after the bank raised the key rate...

Daily Memo: Developments in Syria

Diplomatic efforts. Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov spoke by phone with his Turkish and Iranian counterparts about the situation in Syria, where rebels (including...

Videos

Ukraine Isn’t the Only Frontline In Russia’s War Against the West

FREE
Russia's war with Ukraine is about to enter yet another winter. Meanwhile in the US, Donald Trump is turning his attention to Russia's southern border in an effort to woo the nations of the South Caucasus with diplomacy. What are the US' goals and what does it hope to gain in pulling these nations closer while Russia is distracted in its fight against NATO to the West? Talking Geopolitics host Christian Smith is joined by GPF Chairman George Friedman to make sense of the latest developments.

George Friedman on Putin’s NATO Provocations and Poland’s Emerging Power

FREE
Already this month, Russia has violated the airspace of three NATO countries: Estonia, Romania and Poland - twice. What is Russian President Vladimir Putin trying to achieve with these bold moves, and what impact might they have on Ukraine negotiations? GPF Chairman George Friedman joined host Christian Smith to discuss the latest geopolitical developments in the region as well as outline his forecast for Poland's evolution from his 2009 book,Ā The Next 100 Years.

Should Europe Fear Russia? George Friedman and Antonia Colibasanu from Romania

FREE
The U.S. decision to recuse itself from European security has created something of a crisis on the continent. America wants European countries to pick up their own defense spending and focus on their own region, following Vladimir Putin's 2022 invasion of Ukraine. So what’s the feeling in Europe about the risks countries there face from Russia? How are they navigating those threats? And do Americans and Europeans see them in the same way?

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