Home Analysis The Myth of Credibility AnalysisRegional DirectoryAsia PacificMiddle East and North AfricaUnited States The Myth of Credibility By Xander Snyder - February 1, 2019 252 Whether two states can cooperate with each other is a consequence of shared interests, not the cause. This article is for subscribers only Join thousands of readers who rely on GPF for clear-eyed geopolitical analysis. $89 per year Save 18% vs. monthly ✓Full access to all daily analysis & forecasts ✓George Friedman's geopolitical insights ✓2026 Forecast & Special Collection on the Middle East ✓100% reader-supported Subscribe Now 30-day money-back guarantee Already a subscriber? Log in RELATED ARTICLESMORE FROM AUTHOR Analysis Daily Memo: Update on Hormuz, Intel on Iranian Weapons Americas Daily Memo: Trump Questions NATO Analysis Sketches of the Middle East After the Iran War Latest Posts The Future of War Is HereFREE Analysis George Friedman - March 30, 2026 Continue to the category Daily Memo: Update on Hormuz, Intel on Iranian Weapons Analysis Geopolitical Futures - April 3, 2026 Hormuz and the Slow-Burn Fertilizer Supply Shock Analysis Ekaterina Zolotova - April 3, 2026