Russia Sanctions Hit Their Limit

The effectiveness of the sanctions campaign is nearing its limits.

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Russia's Sanction Surge
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Kyiv wants more Western sanctions against Russia, but there are signs that the effectiveness of the sanctions campaign is nearing its limits. In early March, the European Union issued its 10th package of sanctions against Russia, but various European firms are still finding ways to do business with the country. The most important example concerns oil. Europe continues to buy Russian oil, only it’s doing it through middlemen like India, which is exporting 360,000 barrels per day to the Continent.

Even the International Monetary Fund has said that, after a sharp fall in the second quarter of 2022, Russia’s economy managed to recover in the second half of the year. This suggests the Russian economy is weathering sanctions better than most observers expected.

Geopolitical Futures
Geopolitical Futures (GPF) was founded in 2015 by George Friedman, international strategist and author of The Storm Before the Calm and The Next 100 Years. GPF is non-ideological, analyzes the world and forecasts the future using geopolitics: political, economic, military and geographic dimensions at the foundation of a nation.