No End in Sight for Europe’s Sluggish Economy

Growth was just 0.2 percent in the second quarter.

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European Union Economic Update | Q2-2024
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The European Union’s economic growth rate slowed in the second quarter, though the bloc’s gross domestic product was 0.2 percent higher compared with the previous three-month period. The EU’s largest economies showed very modest growth, with Germany, traditionally the region’s economic driver, even posting negative figures. This confirms a stable trend of slower economic growth amid ongoing domestic and foreign policy challenges.

The war in Ukraine has become a money pit for all sides, while the loss of Russia as a supplier of cheap energy and a buyer of European goods continues to drag on the EU economy. Other factors, including a stronger emphasis on fiscal discipline, further hinder Europeā€™s economic acceleration, especially compared with the U.S., where GDP grew by 0.7 percent on a quarterly basis over the same period. Although the European Central Bank has started to lower interest rates as inflation cools, a sudden turnaround in growth is unlikely.

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Geopolitical Futures (GPF) was founded in 2015 by George Friedman, international strategist and author of The Storm Before the Calm and The Next 100 Years. GPF is non-ideological, analyzes the world and forecasts the future using geopolitics: political, economic, military and geographic dimensions at the foundation of a nation.