Israel/Palestine Conflict

The fighting that erupted between Israel and Hamas on Oct. 7, 2023 was no ordinary flare-up. It shattered the relative calm observed in the Middle East over the past few of years – a result of Israel’s efforts to reclaim its international status; of Iran’s efforts to reconcile with its neighbors; and of new alignments slowly forming among erstwhile enemies. Regional leadership and power dynamics are directly at stake, as is the potential shape of the Middle East itself.

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The State of the Israeli-Gaza Conflict

Analysis George Friedman -
The origins of the modern Arab-Israeli conflict are pretty well known. Gaza, the narrow strip of land running to the Sinai Peninsula, was originally...
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The Drumbeat of War in the Middle East

Analysis Hilal Khashan -
Threats of impending war have permeated the Middle East since Israel’s establishment in 1948. Though Egypt made peace with Israel in 1978 and Jordan...
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The Eclipse of the Palestinian Question

Analysis Hilal Khashan -
Until the 1970s, the Palestinian question had preoccupied the Arab world since the creation of Israel in 1948. Public figures and ordinary Arabs were...
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West Bank Violence Stalls Arab-Israeli Normalization

Analysis Hilal Khashan -
Last month, three senior U.S. officials visited Israel and the Palestinian Territories to try to avert a third Palestinian intifada. National Security Adviser Jake...
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Special Collection on the Middle East

This complete work consists of several dozen essays spread out over 8 parts tackling the region’s conflicts and historical evolution, relating them to contemporary issues. Divided into distinct regions and critical issues, the Special Collection of the Middle East is your source to better understand this volatile region and to be prepared for what comes next.

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Recent Analysis: Israel & Palestine

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Daily Memo: Update on Hormuz, Intel on Iranian Weapons

Analysis Geopolitical Futures -
A first. A French-owned container ship passed through the Strait of Hormuz on Thursday, becoming the first known vessel flying a flag from a...
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Sketches of the Middle East After the Iran War

Analysis Kamran Bokhari -
The war in Iran is likely to wind down soon – at least in its current phase – making this a moment to step...
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Daily Memo: France-Japan Meeting, Russia-Armenia Talks

Analysis Geopolitical Futures -
Minerals cooperation. France and Japan signed a roadmap to cooperate on critical minerals during French President Emmanuel Macron’s visit to Tokyo. The two countries...
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Daily Memo: US-Saudi Ties, Israeli Plans for Lebanon

Analysis Geopolitical Futures -
Nuclear cooperation. The White House last month sent a report to Congress laying out the case for sharing nuclear technology with Saudi Arabia, Bloomberg...
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What to Know About the Artesh, Iran’s Conventional Military

Analysis Andrew Davidson -
Rather than a single, unified military force, Iran operates a two-headed machine comprising the conventional armed forces, known as the Artesh, and the more...
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Daily Memo: Mediation Efforts, Oil Supplies for Cuba

Americas Geopolitical Futures -
Brokering peace? The foreign ministers of Pakistan, Turkey, Egypt and Saudi Arabia held two days of talks in Islamabad on Sunday on possible ways to...
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The Future of War Is Here

FREE
Analysis George Friedman -
In my book “The Future of War,” which was published in 1996, I wrote that the future of warfare would be based on unmanned...
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Daily Memo: Iran Makes Preparations

Analysis Geopolitical Futures -
New developments. Iran is stationing additional military personnel and air defense systems on Kharg Island in preparation for a possible U.S. ground operation, CNN...
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Daily Memo: US Offers Plan for Peace in Iran

Analysis Geopolitical Futures -
Initial proposal. Washington is pushing for a “framework agreement” with Tehran to bring an end to the war in Iran, Israel’s Channel 12 reported,...
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Lebanon on the Brink of Civil War

Analysis Hilal Khashan -
Hezbollah Secretary-General Naim Qassem recently asserted that the Iranian-backed Shiite group will defend Lebanon until the areas of the country that were captured by...
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Daily Memo: Belarusian Fertilizers, US-Japan Relations

Analysis Geopolitical Futures -
Belarusian rapprochement. The U.S. will remove sanctions on two key Belarusian fertilizer producers amid disruptions in global supplies related to the Iran war. The...
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Daily Memo: Strikes on Iran’s Navy, US Mulls Sending Reinforcements

Analysis Geopolitical Futures -
Escalation. Israel carried out its first strike on Iranian targets in the Caspian Sea. Five Iranian navy vessels were reportedly hit in the attack...
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Latest Posts

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Audio & Video

The Battle for Lebanon’s Future

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Video Geopolitical Futures -
As war rages in the Middle East, the future of Iran remains an open question. The same can be said for Lebanon, where exchanges of fire between Hezbollah and Israel have been taking place for more than a week. On this episode of Talking Geopolitics, host Christian Smith is joined by Senior Analyst Hilal Khashan for a ground-level perspective on the escalating conflict in Lebanon, and to explore the broader regional impacts of the Iran war.
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Hezbollah’s End Game: Hilal Khashan Reporting from Lebanon

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Podcast Geopolitical Futures -
As war rages in the Middle East, the future of Iran remains an open question. The same can be said for Lebanon, where exchanges of fire between Hezbollah and Israel have been taking place for more than a week. On this episode of Talking Geopolitics, host Christian Smith is joined by Senior Analyst Hilal Khashan for a ground-level perspective on the escalating conflict in Lebanon, and to explore the broader regional impacts of the Iran war.
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