Iran’s Regime Is Headed for a Hard Landing

The regime’s survival now depends on compromises that will permanently alter its internal order.

2014

The 47th anniversary of Iran’s 1979 revolution is less than a week away, but instead of celebrating, the Islamic Republic is faced with an insuperable political and economic crisis. Simultaneously, Tehran’s nearly half-century-old conflict with Washington has come to a head. Divided though they are, Iran’s elite factions recognize that their only hope to preserve […]

This article is for subscribers only

Join thousands of readers who rely on GPF for clear-eyed geopolitical analysis.

$89 per year Save 18% vs. monthly
✓Full access to all daily analysis & forecasts
✓George Friedman's geopolitical insights
✓2026 Forecast & Special Collection on the Middle East
✓100% reader-supported
Subscribe Now

30-day money-back guarantee


Already a subscriber? Log in

Kamran Bokhari
Kamran Bokhari, PhD, is a regular contributor to and former senior analyst (2015-2018) with Geopolitical Futures. A strategic forecaster, Dr. Bokhari is now a Senior Resident Fellow with the Middle East Policy Council and a Senior Director at the New Lines Institute for Strategy & Policy in Washington, DC. Bokhari also teaches Eurasian Geopolitics at Georgetown University's Security Studies Program. Previously, has served as the Coordinator for Central Asia Studies at the U.S. Department of State’s Foreign Service Institute. Follow him on X (formerly Twitter) at @Kamran Bokhari