By George Friedman
Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban was re-elected prime minister for a third consecutive term on April 8, winning a two-thirds majority in parliament. We normally don’t write on elections, on the premise that politicians are trapped in the impersonal forces of reality and therefore personalities matter little. This election is somewhat different because it shows that the forces that want to reorganize Europe are strong and growing stronger.
Orban was one of the first major European leaders to challenge the premise of the European Union. His argument was that national sovereignty took precedence over EU governance. He challenged German Chancellor Angela Merkel’s use of the term “liberal democracy.” She claimed that liberal democracy was not simply a mode for determining government policy, but that the policy itself ought to be liberal, in the conventional use of the term. For Orban, the foundation of liberal democracy was national self-determinati