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Fishing for the Fourth Institutional Cycle

I have written a great deal about socio-economic cycles but far less on institutional cycles, specifically how the fourth institutional cycle in American history...

AUKUS in 2024

The trilateral security partnership comprising the United States, the United Kingdom and Australia – known simply as AUKUS – is among the most interesting...

China and the Philippines Square Off

The Philippines has long been an important component of Washington’s alliance network in the Asia-Pacific. Its geography is such that Manila can help to...

A Shift in the EU

Last week’s election in the Netherlands produced a radical change. Traditionally, the Netherlands is among the most classically liberal states in Europe. But in...

Remember Ukraine?

Some of you may remember Ukraine. Just a few months ago, it was all the talk. Since then, war has broken out between Hamas...

With the US-China Meeting, History Repeats Itself, Sort Of

U.S. President Joe Biden will meet this week with Chinese President Xi Jinping. It’s an important meeting in that both presidents are weak and...

The World Aflame

A few weeks ago, I wrote a piece titled “The World Begins to Reorder Itself.” There is certainly a new order coming, but unlike...

Hints, Bluffs and Uncertainty

The practice of foreign policy, like many other practices, consists of hints and bluffs amid uncertainty. There’s value in making the worthless seem invaluable...

Russia, Ukraine and Thinking Extreme Thoughts

In a recent article, I wrote that the war in Ukraine is over, but nobody knows how to end it. What I meant by...

The Last War

The world is focused on the Hamas-Israel war that is now raging. But this war has its psychological antecedents in a war that occurred...

The World Begins to Reorder Itself

I wrote a few months ago that the world is in the process of reordering itself, something it does every few generations. It is...

The War Is Over, but No One Knows How to Stop Fighting

It has been more than one and a half years since Russia launched its attack on Ukraine. The war has not gone as the...

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