HomeWeekly

Weekly

The 2020s and Its Historic Shift: The United States

In my book ā€œThe Next 100 Years,ā€ published in 2009, I predicted that in the 2020s the United States would experience a massive socio-economic crisis, as well as a substantial institutional crisis. The forecast was based on historic cycles, whereby the former occurs roughly every 50 years and the latter roughly every 80 years. Socio-economic […]

Calibrating Capability and Interest in Ukraine

Last week, in my column in which I answer readers’ questions, I wrote that the United States must calibrate and measure its geopolitical interests...

On the Upcoming Trump-Putin Summit and Tariffs on India

U.S. President Donald Trump has announced that he will meet with Russian President Vladimir Putin in Alaska on Aug. 15. They had spoken many...

Turkey’s Time to Rise

ā€œThe Next 100 Years,ā€ which was published some 15 years ago, forecast the emergence of three significant powers over the next few decades: Japan,...

The Geopolitics of Drugs

Last month, President Donald Trump declared – not for the first time – the drug cartels in Latin America to be international terrorists. And...

Putin’s Dilemma

In analyzing the process by which the Russia-Ukraine war will end, the most critical factor, as I have argued before, is that by not...

Floods in the Texas Hill Country: Reflections on a Catastrophe

A little over a week ago, the Guadalupe River in the Texas Hill Country went berserk, as rivers sometimes do in this area, killing...

Trump’s Diplomatic Model

U.S. President Donald Trump has developed a clear model for exercising diplomacy. He begins by making demands of other nations, then calls for negotiations....

War and the Constitution

The U.S. attack on Iran’s nuclear facilities has raised an important constitutional issue. The U.S. Constitution gives Congress the authority to declare war. It...

Ukraine and Russia, Israel and Iran: Searching for the Significant

The Ukrainian drone attack on Russia at the beginning of this month and the Israeli attack on Iran have some striking similarities. 1. Both attacks...

Report From Hungary

My ongoing trip to Europe has brought me to Hungary, the country in which I was born. My profession requires me to be clinical...

Report From Serbia

I first visited Serbia in the early 1970s. At the time, I was genuinely unaware that I was in Serbia. I thought I was...

Latest Posts

Get Geopolitical Futures FREE newsletter

Understanding Our Geopolitical Model

Sign up now and receive our special report Understanding our Geopolitical Model

Get weekly analysis from New York Times bestselling author George Friedman and our global team of analysts, plus special offers.

Subscription Special



The World in 2026

FREE with an annual subscription to Geopolitical Futures.

Subscribe Now