South Pacific

Daily Memo: Australia’s New Defense Priorities

Geopolitical Futures - April 24, 2023

Australia’s defense outlook. The Australian government released its defense strategic review on Monday. The report signaled a significant shift in Australia’s defense outlook, pledging that the government will spend 19 billion Australian dollars ($12.7 billion) on new initiatives, including building its own long-range strike force, and cut AU$7.8 billion from six existing defense programs, predominantly […]

Daily Memo: The EU’s Approach to Russia Sanctions

Geopolitical Futures - April 20, 2023

Reaching the limit. Future EU sanctions against Russia will likely not include new sectors of the economy that haven’t yet been targeted, according to...

Daily Memo: Hungary and Russia Talk Energy, US and Philippines Train in South China Sea

Geopolitical Futures - April 11, 2023

Energy focus. Hungary’s foreign minister arrived in Moscow to discuss energy cooperation with Russia’s deputy prime minister and the head of Russian firm Rosatom....

Daily Memo: Zelenskyy in Poland, Russia-India Ties

Geopolitical Futures - April 5, 2023

Zelenskyy visits Poland. In Warsaw, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy met with Polish President Andrzej Duda. The Polish leader said his government has delivered four...

Daily Memo: Russian Corporate Profits Tank, Protests in Georgia Resume

Geopolitical Futures - March 22, 2023

Russian economy. Profits at Russia’s medium and large firms fell by 45.4 percent in the second half of 2022 relative to a year ago,...

Daily Memo: Iran and Saudi Arabia to Normalize Relations

Geopolitical Futures - March 10, 2023

Middle East developments. Iran and Saudi Arabia agreed to restore diplomatic ties after seven years of tensions. In a deal mediated by China, the...

The Ukraine War, One Year In

Geopolitical Futures - February 24, 2023

It’s been a year since Russia invaded Ukraine, and what many believed would be a short-lived conflict rages on. That’s not to say it’s...

Daily Memo: Russian Revenue, Iranian Uranium

Geopolitical Futures - February 6, 2023

Bad news for Moscow. The executive director of the International Energy Agency said Russia’s oil and gas export revenues likely fell by 30 percent,...

Forecast for 2023

George Friedman - January 26, 2023

Our 2023 Annual Forecast, like those before it, is an attempt to provide a sense of the direction of the world. We do this...

Daily Memo: Major Visits to Washington and Beijing

Geopolitical Futures - December 21, 2022

Zelenskyy abroad. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy will visit Washington on Wednesday to meet with U.S. President Joe Biden and address Congress. The presidents will...

Daily Memo: Russian Drills in Belarus and the East China Sea

Geopolitical Futures - December 19, 2022

Russia in the Asia-Pacific. Russia and China will carry out joint naval drills in the East China Sea on Dec. 21-27, according to Russia’s...

Daily Memo: Belarus’ Combat Readiness Check, European Sanctions on Iran

Geopolitical Futures - December 13, 2022

Making preparations. Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko ordered on Tuesday a snap check of troops’ combat readiness. As part of the inspection, military equipment and...

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