South Pacific

Daily Memo: Matters of Negotiation

Matters of negotiation. The second round of talks between Russia and Ukraine are being held in Istanbul today. Last night, Reuters published the full text of a Ukrainian memorandum that lays out how Kyiv sees the war in Ukraine being resolved. According to the document, Ukraine’s goals include an unconditional ceasefire, the exchange of prisoners, […]

Daily Memo: Peace Proposals in Ukraine, Air Defense in India

Waiting on Moscow. Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov spoke by phone on Wednesday with U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio about Moscow’s agenda for...

A Tale of Two Elections

In the space of a week, two of the United States’ closest historical allies held elections over which the shadow of Washington loomed large....

America’s New Threat Assessment

(click to enlarge) The 2025 Annual Threat Assessment from the U.S. Intelligence Community presents a detailed overview of a rapidly evolving threat landscape defined by...

Daily Memo: Japanese Support for Ukraine, French Presence in Syria

Intelligence-sharing. Japan has agreed to provide Ukraine with satellite-based geospatial data, including radar imagery obtained from Synthetic Aperture Radar satellites. It’s the first time...

As Trade Changes, So Does US Defense

Reports from around the world suggest U.S. military policy is at odds with itself. On the one hand, the United States has pledged to...

Daily Memo: Doubts About Israel’s Gaza Strategy

IDF warning. The chief of staff of the Israel Defense Forces, Lt. Gen. Eyal Zamir, warned that the army lacks enough combat troops to...

Daily Memo: Taiwan Eyes Defense Deal, Shifts in Russian Trade

Investments in the U.S. Taiwan is reportedly in talks on a multibillion-dollar deal to purchase arms from the United States, hoping to curry favor...

The World in 2025

Editor's note: Below are the compiled links to our entire 2025 annual forecast. Please follow the links for quick navigation, or download the PDF...

2025 Forecast: A World Without an Anchor

Throughout history, world order has been shaped by great powers. In the competition with them – and sometimes among them – lesser powers would...

Daily Memo: Ethiopia and Somalia Agree to Squash Feud

Path to peace? Ethiopia and Somalia agreed to end their feud over Addis Ababa’s signing in January of a port access deal with the...

Daily Memo: Rebels Advance in Syria

Advancing to Hama. The leader of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, the insurgent group that led the rebellion against Syrian government forces in Aleppo last week,...

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