South Pacific

Daily Memo: Unprecedented Taiwan Drills, US Cuts Some Ukraine Arms Shipments

Geopolitical Futures - July 2, 2025

Simulated invasion. Taiwan will conduct its largest military exercises in history next week, simulating a Chinese blockade and invasion of the island. More than 22,000 reservists will participate in the 10-day drills beginning July 9. Military officials said scenarios will include a “joint fire attack” and a simulated amphibious assault by the People’s Liberation Army. […]

Daily Memo: Europe’s Big Three to Hold Talks With Iran

Geopolitical Futures - June 19, 2025

European arbitration. The foreign ministers of Germany, France and Britain will reportedly meet with Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi in Geneva on Friday. It...

Daily Memo: Israel-Iran Conflict Continues, US Pushes Diplomacy

Geopolitical Futures - June 16, 2025

Israel-Iran latest. Israel and Iran continued to exchange missile and drone fire overnight. Israel reportedly requested U.S. participation in a joint military campaign against...

Daily Memo: US Takes Precautions Ahead of Iran Nuclear Talks

Geopolitical Futures - June 12, 2025

Developments in the Middle East. The U.S. is withdrawing some of its diplomatic personnel from the Middle East amid growing concerns about a potential...

Daily Memo: Matters of Negotiation

Geopolitical Futures - June 2, 2025

Matters of negotiation. The second round of talks between Russia and Ukraine are being held in Istanbul today. Last night, Reuters published the full...

Daily Memo: Peace Proposals in Ukraine, Air Defense in India

Geopolitical Futures - May 29, 2025

Waiting on Moscow. Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov spoke by phone on Wednesday with U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio about Moscow’s agenda for...

A Tale of Two Elections

Ronan Wordsworth - May 21, 2025

In the space of a week, two of the United States’ closest historical allies held elections over which the shadow of Washington loomed large....

America’s New Threat Assessment

Geopolitical Futures - May 2, 2025

(click to enlarge) The 2025 Annual Threat Assessment from the U.S. Intelligence Community presents a detailed overview of a rapidly evolving threat landscape defined by...

Daily Memo: Japanese Support for Ukraine, French Presence in Syria

Geopolitical Futures - April 22, 2025

Intelligence-sharing. Japan has agreed to provide Ukraine with satellite-based geospatial data, including radar imagery obtained from Synthetic Aperture Radar satellites. It’s the first time...