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Daily Memo: Russian Departures

Geopolitical Futures -

Russia unbound. On Aug. 4, Russia’s Foreign Ministry said Moscow no longer considers itself bound to the self-imposed restrictions regarding the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty. The statement is a response to what Russia sees as provocation from the United States and its allies. It alleges the U.S. has set a precedent for transferring land-based systems […]

Daily Memo: Middle East Diplomacy

Geopolitical Futures -
Peace proposal. Israeli and Syrian officials held talks, mediated by the U.S. envoy to Syria, in Paris on Thursday. Following the meeting, the Syrian...

Daily Memo: Azerbaijan Hosts Syria-Israel Talks, PKK Begins Disarmament

Geopolitical Futures -
Energy relief. Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa traveled to Baku and met with Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev. Energy was a major focus, with al-Sharaa complaining...

Daily Memo: Unprecedented Taiwan Drills, US Cuts Some Ukraine Arms Shipments

Geopolitical Futures -
Simulated invasion. Taiwan will conduct its largest military exercises in history next week, simulating a Chinese blockade and invasion of the island. More than...

Daily Memo: Europe’s Big Three to Hold Talks With Iran

Geopolitical Futures -
European arbitration. The foreign ministers of Germany, France and Britain will reportedly meet with Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi in Geneva on Friday. It...

Daily Memo: Israel-Iran Conflict Continues, US Pushes Diplomacy

Geopolitical Futures -
Israel-Iran latest. Israel and Iran continued to exchange missile and drone fire overnight. Israel reportedly requested U.S. participation in a joint military campaign against...

Daily Memo: US Takes Precautions Ahead of Iran Nuclear Talks

Geopolitical Futures -
Developments in the Middle East. The U.S. is withdrawing some of its diplomatic personnel from the Middle East amid growing concerns about a potential...

Daily Memo: Matters of Negotiation

Geopolitical Futures -
Matters of negotiation. The second round of talks between Russia and Ukraine are being held in Istanbul today. Last night, Reuters published the full...

Daily Memo: Peace Proposals in Ukraine, Air Defense in India

Geopolitical Futures -
Waiting on Moscow. Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov spoke by phone on Wednesday with U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio about Moscow’s agenda for...

A Tale of Two Elections

Ronan Wordsworth -
In the space of a week, two of the United States’ closest historical allies held elections over which the shadow of Washington loomed large....

America’s New Threat Assessment

Geopolitical Futures -
(click to enlarge) The 2025 Annual Threat Assessment from the U.S. Intelligence Community presents a detailed overview of a rapidly evolving threat landscape defined by...

Daily Memo: Japanese Support for Ukraine, French Presence in Syria

Geopolitical Futures -
Intelligence-sharing. Japan has agreed to provide Ukraine with satellite-based geospatial data, including radar imagery obtained from Synthetic Aperture Radar satellites. It’s the first time...
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