The Retreat of Secularism in India

June 30, 2017 Hindu nationalism is filling the void, and jihadism may not be far behind.

Ramadan: A Holy and Violent Month

June 2, 2017 Jihadist groups have invoked the Islamic holiday’s history to further their agendas.

Regime Collapse and a US Withdrawal from Afghanistan

May 8, 2017 No one is willing to acknowledge the extent of the challenge in Afghanistan.

Regional Security and the Islamic Military Alliance

April 5, 2017 The formation of a “Muslim NATO” may actually encourage jihadism.

Turning Economic Risk into Opportunity in India

March 23, 2017 In tackling non-performing loans, Prime Minister Narendra Modi hopes to centralize political power.

State Elections and Power in India

March 14, 2017 Prime Minister Narendra Modi may be more effective at centralizing power than previously thought.

China and a Philippine Foreign Secretary’s Ouster

March 10, 2017 The South China Sea is a sideshow.

The Afghanistan-Pakistan Fault Line

March 2, 2017 The U.S. will be engaged in military and intelligence operations at the Afghan-Pakistani border for many years.

China’s Limits in the Indo-Pacific

Jan. 20, 2017 Taking stock of competition between India, China and the U.S. in the Indian Ocean.

Russia’s View of Afghanistan and the Taliban

Jan. 18, 2017 Improving relations with the Taliban gives Moscow the ability to increase its bargaining position in dealings with Washington.

The Real Goal Behind India’s Economic Reforms

Jan. 12, 2017 The prime minister’s decision to demonetize India’s currency is as much about centralizing power as economic reform.

2016 Forecast Year-End Report Card

Dec. 22, 2016 As the year comes to an close, we examine how our forecast for 2016 fared.