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July 15, 2024

Pezeshkian’s priorities. Iranian President-elect Masoud Pezeshkian outlined his strategic vision for the country in an article for the Tehran Times. He emphasized the importance of fostering cooperation with neighboring countries and said his administration was committed to building a strong region through collaboration, rather than one dominated by a single state. He also said he […]

Searching for a Cause

July 15, 2024

The instability in the United States predicted by our model continued this weekend with the attempted assassination of former President Donald Trump. It should...

Daily Memo: Houthi Presence in Iraq, Solomon Island Leader in Beijing

July 12, 2024

Iraqi connections. Yemen’s Houthi rebels reportedly opened an office in Baghdad. The group apparently indirectly announced the existence of its coordination and communications office,...

US, Panama Mind the Darien Gap

July 12, 2024

The Darien Gap – once considered little more than a narrow, impenetrable jungle along Colombia’s border with Panama – has slowly become one of...

Daily Memo: Moscow’s Message, China-Russia Naval Drills

July 11, 2024

Russian response. Russia will develop a military response to the future U.S. deployment of long-range missiles in Germany, Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov...

Why Iran’s Establishment Let a Reformist Become President

July 11, 2024

For the first time in nearly a generation, Iran has elected a reformist who is not a cleric as president. But Masoud Pezeshkian’s victory...

Daily Memo: NATO’s Summit, Orban’s Debrief

July 10, 2024

NATO developments. At an alliance summit in Washington on Tuesday, several NATO allies pledged to send Ukraine air defense systems that Kyiv has said...

In Armenia, Russia Takes a Wait-and-See Approach

July 10, 2024

By all appearances, Russia is losing an ally in a part of the world where it can least afford to have enemies. Armenia, the...

Daily Memo: Turkey-China Deal, Georgia’s EU Membership Bid

July 9, 2024

EV business. Turkey signed a $1 billion contract with the world’s largest manufacturer of electric vehicles, Chinese firm BYD. According to the deal, BYD...

Israel’s Graduated Escalation Against Hezbollah

July 9, 2024

Talk of war between Israel and Hezbollah has been making news since the latter began attacking the former in solidarity with Hamas. Israel has...

Daily Memo: Junta Leaders Solidify West African Alliance, China and Belarus Hold Drills

July 8, 2024

Pulling away. Burkina Faso, Mali and Niger signed a new treaty that will cement an alliance they announced last year. The formalization of the...

The Euro-American Shift

July 8, 2024

There are certain pressures that reverberate throughout the globe that can manifest in different realms, including the economy, the military and the legal system....

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