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February 3, 2025

The modernization of China’s military over the past few years has raised justifiable questions over whether Beijing can someday challenge the U.S.-led international order. But the answer to that question depends on what China intends to do – and is capable of doing – with its growing military capabilities. China boasts the world’s largest standing […]

Rwanda’s Role in DRC Conflict

January 31, 2025

(click to enlarge) The conflict in eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo escalated last weekend when the M23 rebel group advanced into North Kivu, seizing...

Daily Memo: Qatari Emir Visits Damascus

January 31, 2025

First visit. Qatari Emir Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani arrived in Syria on Friday in the first official visit to the country by a...

2025 Forecast: Middle East and North Africa

January 31, 2025

The Middle East is an Arab-majority region, but with the exception of a 200-year period that began in the early 7th century, Arabs have...

Daily Memo: Germany Reports Contraction

January 30, 2025

Still struggling. The German economy contracted 0.2 percent in the fourth quarter compared with the previous quarter, according to data released Thursday by the...

2025 Forecast: A World Without an Anchor

January 30, 2025

Throughout history, world order has been shaped by great powers. In the competition with them – and sometimes among them – lesser powers would...

Daily Memo: US and Russia Consider Future Plans for Syria

January 29, 2025

The U.S. in Syria. The Trump administration has conveyed to Israeli officials that it intends to withdraw U.S. troops from Syria, according to Israeli...

2025 Forecast: Europe

January 29, 2025

The defining feature of Europe in 2025 will be political instability, complicating its ability to address immense internal and external challenges. Several states that...

Daily Memo: Russian Delegation Arrives in Damascus

January 28, 2025

First trip. A Russian delegation that includes the country’s deputy foreign minister and special envoy to Syria arrived in Damascus, the first official visit...

New Hope for Lebanon

January 28, 2025

There’s a broad sense of optimism in Lebanon that the election of Joseph Aoun as president earlier this month could bring genuine change after...

Daily Memo: US-Colombia Agreement on Deportees, Ukraine’s Dire Warning

January 27, 2025

Crisis averted. After the U.S. imposed tariffs on all Colombian goods due to Bogota’s refusal to accept deported Colombian migrants on U.S. military aircraft,...