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Daily Memo: Iran’s Military on High Alert

Standing its ground. Iran continues to reject U.S. demands for direct negotiations, arguing instead that backchannel diplomacy via Oman should continue. Tehran also put its military on high alert and issued direct warnings to regional states – including Iraq, Kuwait, Qatar, Bahrain, the UAE and Turkey – that permitting the U.S. to launch operations from […]

The Geopolitics of Tariffs

There are two analytic principles worth repeating before delving into the raft of tariffs the Trump administration issued last week. The first is that...

Daily Memo: Chinese Tariffs, Ukraine Security Guarantees

Chinese retaliation. China announced that it will impose 34 percent tariffs on all U.S. imports in retaliation against the Trump administration’s announcement on Thursday...

For the US, Deep-Sea Mining Is a Matter of Urgency

Outside the clamor of tariffs, the negotiations over Ukraine and various institutional reforms, the U.S. government has been devising new ways to strengthen its...

Daily Memo: Israeli Strike Targets Syrian Airports

Israeli airstrikes. Israel launched airstrikes against two airports in Syria on Wednesday, the Israel Defense Forces confirmed. According to the IDF, they targeted “remaining...

China’s Strategic Desperation and Taiwan Drills

China’s attempts to manage its economic downturn and prevent it from becoming a political crisis have hit a major obstacle: the shift in U.S....

Daily Memo: Tensions in the Middle East and a Russian Visit to Washington

Iranian preparations. Iran has reportedly placed its military on high alert in anticipation of a possible Israeli strike. It has also reportedly readied more...

Defense Industry Winners and Losers Amid Trump Tariffs

For years, Europe has been notoriously slow in developing a coherent strategy for its defense industry. And it never really had a reason to...

Daily Memo: US Deployment, Chinese Drills

Military buildup. The Pentagon deployed several A-10 attack aircraft and 300 troops to the Middle East over the weekend, part of the U.S.’ recent...

Daily Memo: US Discusses Ukraine Talks With Russia and Nuclear Negotiations With Iran

U.S. and Russia. U.S. President Donald Trump said that Russia has a “psychological deadline” to reach a ceasefire deal in Ukraine and that he was...

The Geopolitical Context of the Ukraine Talks

As negotiations continue between Russia and the United States over the conflict in Ukraine, the prospects for a comprehensive peace agreement remain dim, the...

Germany Weighs Down European Growth

(click to enlarge) The euro area posted modest economic growth in the last quarter of 2024, with seasonally adjusted gross domestic product rising 0.2 percent...
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