Jan. 4, 2016 The market decline indicates an underlying lack of confidence in the economy and in the state’s regulatory regime.

Jan. 4, 2016 The refugee crisis has not only contributed to the ongoing fragmentation of Europe, but has also impacted the cohesion of Germany’s ruling coalition.

Jan. 2, 2015 The Saudis are attempting to deal with both internal strains and external attacks and our model says their attempts to do so will have deleterious ramifications in 2016.

Dec. 31, 2015 Sources in China are reporting increased tension between the Communist Party and the People’s Liberation Army.

Dec. 30, 2015 To understand the American political system, it is important to grasp how little power the American president has at his disposal.

Dec. 30, 2015 A new poll shows a majority of Russians support an ongoing protest by truck drivers, indicating public support for the Russian regime may be waning.

Dec. 30, 2015 As the Islamic State becomes the dominant force in the Middle East, anti-IS actors are increasingly relying on jihadist rebel groups to take on IS in Syria.

Dec. 29, 2015 Without knowing the details of the Islamic State’s activities in the weeks and days before the Kurdish-led alliance took the Tishrin Dam in Syria, it isn’t clear whether this was a major defeat or even preparation by IS for a new offensive elsewhere.

Dec. 29, 2015 Saudi Arabia will cut public spending in 2016, which may signal problems for a government that relies on public funds to maintain control at home and in the region.

Dec. 29, 2015 After introducing reforms that will leave tens of thousands of soldiers unemployed, the Chinese government has ordered state-owned enterprises to offer preferential hiring to veterans.

Dec. 28, 2015 The quiet of the past few days gives us an opportunity to explain how we decide whether or not an event is important.

Dec. 26, 2015 A Russian official said the country has had contact with the Taliban over the Islamic State, which would represent a shift in Russian policy.