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Regional Directory

Thinking About a US-China War

Jan. 3, 2017 A rough scenario explains why China will not invade Taiwan anytime soon.

The Evolution of Italy’s Banking Crisis

Dec. 30, 2016 The Italian banking crisis is not just an Italian problem.

Fact or Fiction: Is China’s Holding of US Debt a Source of Leverage?

Dec. 29, 2016 Beijing faces a number of constraints.

The Palestinian National Project

Dec. 29, 2016Ā Will there ever be a two-state solution?

The Soviet Union and Russia: Tragedy and Farce

Dec. 28, 2016Ā Russia’s recent military adventures have mostly aimed to create an illusion of strength.

Forecasting 2016: Final Grades

Dec. 26, 2016 Self-evaluation is a key part of forecasting.

Belarus: Between a Rock and a Hard Place

Dec. 28, 2016Ā In the near future, Belarus will remain an unofficial region of Russia, whether it wants to or not.

A Meaningless UN Security Council Resolution

Dec. 27, 2016Ā The international community’s gestures and edicts will have no real bearing on the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.

The Paris Summit and the Real Climate Change Debate

Dec. 26, 2016Ā Editor’s Note: As U.S. President-elect Donald Trump’s Cabinet appointments are announced, many are beginning to see China as the global leader on climate change. In light of recent developments, we are republishing one of our earliest articles, from Dec. 1, 2015.Ā 

Poland’s Rising Leadership Position

Dec. 23, 2016Ā Warsaw has increasingly focused on defense and regional partnerships.

2016 Forecast Year-End Report Card

Dec. 22, 2016 As the year comes to an close, weĀ examine how our forecast for 2016 fared.

The Slowing Battle for Mosul

Dec. 22, 2016 The anti-Islamic State coalition is getting bogged down.

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