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The Challenges of Dealmaking in the Middle East

The United States is developing a new security arrangement for the Middle East. To that end, the Trump administration is pursuing separate deals with four key regional powers: Israel, Turkey, Saudi Arabia and Iran. The problem is that each deal clashes with the interests of the others, making a coherent regional strategy nearly impossible. Following […]

Daily Memo: Chinese Tariffs and Updates on Iran and Ukraine

Chinese response. China on Wednesday announced 50 percent tariffs on all U.S. imports in response to Washington’s imposition of 50 percent additional tariffs on...

Oil in the Trade War

Immediately after U.S. President Donald Trump announced his slew of tariffs last week, OPEC+ members, led by Russia and Saudi Arabia, announced a significant...

Daily Memo: US-Iran Talks Set to Begin

Nuclear negotiations. At a press conference with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu at the White House, U.S. President Donald Trump said the U.S. and...

Erdogan’s Vision for Turkey

The arrest last month of Istanbul Mayor Ekrem Imamoglu, who was expected to run in the 2028 presidential race, has sparked controversy in Turkey,...

Daily Memo: Iran’s Military on High Alert

Standing its ground. Iran continues to reject U.S. demands for direct negotiations, arguing instead that backchannel diplomacy via Oman should continue. Tehran also put...

The Geopolitics of Tariffs

There are two analytic principles worth repeating before delving into the raft of tariffs the Trump administration issued last week. The first is that...

Daily Memo: Chinese Tariffs, Ukraine Security Guarantees

Chinese retaliation. China announced that it will impose 34 percent tariffs on all U.S. imports in retaliation against the Trump administration’s announcement on Thursday...

For the US, Deep-Sea Mining Is a Matter of Urgency

Outside the clamor of tariffs, the negotiations over Ukraine and various institutional reforms, the U.S. government has been devising new ways to strengthen its...

Daily Memo: Israeli Strike Targets Syrian Airports

Israeli airstrikes. Israel launched airstrikes against two airports in Syria on Wednesday, the Israel Defense Forces confirmed. According to the IDF, they targeted “remaining...

China’s Strategic Desperation and Taiwan Drills

China’s attempts to manage its economic downturn and prevent it from becoming a political crisis have hit a major obstacle: the shift in U.S....

Daily Memo: Tensions in the Middle East and a Russian Visit to Washington

Iranian preparations. Iran has reportedly placed its military on high alert in anticipation of a possible Israeli strike. It has also reportedly readied more...

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