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Arabian Peninsula Security Beyond the Iran War

The strategic environment that prevailed on the Arabian Peninsula prior to the outbreak of the war in Iran on Feb. 28 has been fundamentally and likely irreversibly altered. A long-standing and grave threat – a direct Iranian attack on Gulf Arab states – has become reality. However the conflict unfolds, Gulf Arab states now confront […]

Daily Memo: Developments in the Middle East

Stalemate. U.S. Vice President JD Vance’s trip to Islamabad for peace talks with Iran was postponed indefinitely on Tuesday, reportedly because Tehran refused to...

War, Oil and Energy Diversification

As I have written in the past, I am neutral on the matter of hydrocarbon-induced global warming, simply because, given my ignorance on the...

Daily Memo: Iranian Divisions, Iraqi Politics

Growing gap. The Trump administration is reportedly increasingly uncertain about who’s in charge in Iran, putting prospects for a peace deal in jeopardy. The...

Ukraine Opens a New Front in Africa

In December 2025, a Russian oil tanker called the Qendil was struck by Ukrainian drones in the Mediterranean roughly 250 kilometers (155 miles) off...

Daily Memo: Plans for Second Round of Peace Talks in Pakistan

Mixed reports. The Iranian government has not yet made a decision on whether it will participate in a second round of peace talks with...

Japan, Australia and a New Regional Order

We have written a great deal on the evolution of U.S.-China relations, and we expect them to evolve further after the upcoming summit between...

George Answers Your Questions: Hungary and the Iran War

War and the Principles of the Negotiation Process April 13, 2026 Question: Your latest analysis finally introduces the true vector of this conflict: China. However, applying...

Hungary’s Landmark Election

(click to enlarge) Parliamentary elections in Hungary on April 12 marked an end to the 16-year rule of Viktor Orban and his Fidesz party. Peter...

Daily Memo: Putin’s Approval Ratings Take a Hit

Russian attitudes. Russian President Vladimir Putin’s approval rating continues to decline. According to a new poll by the Russian Public Opinion Research Center, 66.7...

Speculating on South America’s Extraordinary Future

This is not a forecast. A forecast is a prediction, the validity of which my ego and I are professionally responsible for. What I...

Daily Memo: On US and Iranian Weapons Production

Shifting focus. Top U.S. defense officials have held talks with executives of several major automakers, including General Motors and Ford Motor, about producing weapons...
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