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January 2, 2020

Turkey’s decision to move its economic zone in the Eastern Mediterranean to abut Libya’s and then to announce that it was planning to send troops to support the embattled government in Libya has changed the shape of the Middle East. The Libyan government is under attack by a faction with strong Russian support and troops. […]

Forecast Tracker: 2019 Year-End Review

January 1, 2020

(click to enlarge) Scale: Hit, Partial Hit, Inconclusive, Partial Miss, Miss A Cycle Ends The U.S. and China will reach a deal on trade, but it won’t...

Daily Memo: Protests in Baghdad, Clashes in Libya, a New Path for North Korea

December 31, 2019

Iraqi protesters storm the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad, and heavy clashes erupt near Tripoli.

Turkey Makes Its Move

December 31, 2019

In “The Next 100 Years,” I described Turkey as an emerging regional power that would over time extend its sphere of influence to resemble...

Daily Memo: US Strikes, Chinese Tech, Egyptian Patrols

December 30, 2019

The U.S. launches drone strikes in Iraq and Syria, and China prepares to complete its Beidou satellite system.

The Russian Military: By the Numbers

December 30, 2019

The third installment in a three-part series exploring the past, present and future of Russian military reform.

Daily Memo: Tensions in the Mediterranean, Piracy in Southeast Asia, Diplomacy With Iran

December 27, 2019

Turkey plans to send troops to Libya, and pirates board a tanker in the Strait of Singapore.

Japan and Iran Form an Unlikely Alliance

December 27, 2019

Security and economic conditions dictate cooperation.

What We’re Reading: Gaullism and the Suez Canal

December 24, 2019

Weekly reviews of what's on our bookshelves.

Daily Memo: Korean Peninsula Security Talks, Armenian Military Modernization

December 24, 2019

South Korea, China and Japan hold talks on regional security, and Armenia beefs up its military.

North Korea and the Threat of ICBMs

December 24, 2019

Rumors have been swirling that North Korea is about to test an intercontinental ballistic missile. The source for this latest rumor is U.S. intelligence,...