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January 10, 2020

The Mediterranean is once again a key focus of Turkish power projection ambitions.

Daily Memo: Diplomacy to Resolve Libyan Conflict, Iran Tensions Ease, Brexit Progresses

January 9, 2020

TurkStream, Libya and pipe dreams. Turkey and Russia announced a cease-fire in Libya, to begin on Jan. 12, following a bilateral meeting in Istanbul...

The UAE’s Bipolar Foreign Policy

January 8, 2020

Under the leadership of Mohammad bin Zayed, Abu Dhabi has become militarily adventurist, even as it subverts itself to the U.S.

Daily Memo: Iran-Iraq Update, a Standoff in the South China Sea, Escalation in Libya

January 7, 2020

Iran considers its response to the Soleimani killing, and Chinese boats cruise through Indonesia's exclusive economic zone.

The Kenya Attack and Soleimani’s Killing

January 7, 2020

The timing, target, execution and history of economic ties mean we should consider whether the two events are linked.

Iranian and American Strategies After Soleimani

January 6, 2020

Iran has expressed outrage at the killing of Qassem Soleimani, the head of Iran’s Quds Force, and has announced a resumption of its nuclear...

Geopolitical Futures’ Forecast for 2020

January 6, 2020

Introduction A year is an arbitrary moment. It is short, its length determined by a planet’s rotation around a sun. It is merely a moment...

Daily Memo: Fallout in Iran, the Future of the JCPOA

January 6, 2020

The Middle East is still reeling from the killing of Qassem Soleimani.

Iran and the United States: What Comes Next

January 6, 2020

In order to understand the current confrontation between Iran and the United States, we might begin with the Persian-Babylonian wars. Alternatively, we could begin...

Daily Memo: Soleimani’s Assassination, Ending Spain’s Political Gridlock, Russia-Belarus Oil Tiff

January 3, 2020

All eyes on Tehran. The United States assassinated Iranian Gen. Qassem Soleimani, the longtime chief of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and a singular...