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Life After Brexit

On Dec. 21, France closed its border to the United Kingdom after reports of a new, more infectious coronavirus strain spreading in England. Already trucks had been piling up for days as companies rushed to stockpile goods ahead of Brexit and potential COVID-19 lockdowns, and holiday shopping strained shippers. But the Dec. 21 closure generated […]

Forecast Tracker: 2020 Year-End Review

(click to enlarge) Scale: Hit, Partial Hit, Inconclusive, Partial Miss, Miss Global Economic dysfunction will be the main driver of the international system in 2020. Economic stress...

In Arab Monarchies, Absolute Rule May Be Dwindling

The Arab world’s eight monarchies are among the last remaining absolute monarchies on Earth. In some ways, they have proved surprisingly durable. Compared to...

Daily Memo: Duterte’s Threats, Pakistani Attacks

Philippine threats. Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte is threatening, yet again, to scrap Manila's pivotal Visiting Forces Agreement with Washington if the U.S. doesn't deliver...

Brazil and the EU: The Value of Going Green

Representatives from Brazil and the European Union will meet next month to discuss an environmental addendum for the Mercosur-EU free trade agreement, without which...

Daily Memo: Courting Russia, EU-China Deal Stalls

Armenian opposition courts Russia. The leader of one of Armenia’s largest opposition parties said the country should sign a security agreement with Russia and...

Israel Becomes the Middle East’s Superpower

Since its establishment in 1948, Israel has held military supremacy over its Arab neighbors, though they still treated it as a pariah state. Israel...

The Intelligence Dilemma

The United States claims to have identified a massive Russian intelligence operation meant to gather secrets from corporations and the government. The line from...

Daily Memo: New UK Restrictions, Turkish Naval Drills in the Eastern Med

Blocking U.K. travel. The United Kingdom imposed tighter mobility restrictions in London and southeast England after a new, more infectious strain of COVID-19 was...

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