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My Mistake on Ukraine

Since the beginning of the Russian armored buildup, and even after the entry into Donbas, I argued that the Russians would not invade Ukraine proper. It’s true that Russia must recover Ukraine in some fashion to gain the strategic depth it lost when the Soviet Union collapsed, but that didn’t seem to require a full-scale […]

Europe’s Muted Response to Ukraine

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine will affect every region of the world, but none more so than Europe. The region’s proximity to the conflict and...

The Fog of War and the Grammar of War

The fog of war is an ancient concept, worn but true. Advancing on what he thinks is an enemy position, sitting in an armored...

Expected Economic Fallout of the Ukraine Invasion

Though Ukraine may not be an economic powerhouse in its own right, Russia’s invasion has the potential to be extremely economically disruptive nonetheless. The...

Live Updates on Ukraine War

All times are approximate local time in Kyiv (GMT+2). Friday, March 11 11:30 a.m.: The EU's foreign policy chief said the bloc would double its spending...

Daily Memo: Reactions to Russia’s Move on Ukraine

Escalation. Early Thursday morning local time, Russian President Vladimir Putin announced a special military operation in Donbass. He said the Russian armed forces would...

Iran’s Ideological Imperative

A nuclear deal in Vienna is on the horizon. Iran knows it will not succeed in imposing its preconditions for returning to the 2015...

Daily Memo: Western Countries Unveil Sanctions on Russia

Ukraine crisis update. Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelenskiy said the Ukrainian military was calling up reservists aged 18 to 60 for a maximum term of...

Inflation Is Breaking Europe’s Pandemic Consensus

Post-pandemic economic growth in the European Union has gotten off to a solid start, with most of the bloc’s macroeconomic indicators having returned to...

The Not Quite Invasion

Russia has officially ordered soldiers into Donetsk and Luhansk, and though this certainly increases the sense of crisis, it must also be put in...

Daily Memo: Moscow Recognizes Breakaway Ukrainian Regions

Putin makes his move. After a meeting of Russia’s Security Council on Monday, Russian President Vladimir Putin signed a decree recognizing the independence of...

Europe and the Ukraine Crisis

Last week, the European Union’s highest court ruled that Brussels can withhold funding from member states that violate the rule of law, slapping down...
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