Europe

George Answers Your Questions: The Fate of Europe

The European Crisis: Origin and Future Dec. 15, 2025 Question: Europe today is similar to the 13 colonies that came together to oppose a powerful adversary....

Russia’s Escalation in the Black Sea Has Turkey on Edge

Pressure is building on Ukraine and Russia to end their nearly four-year war, setting off a scramble for leverage that is unnerving some of...

The European Crisis: Origin and Future

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The release of the 2025 U.S. National Security Strategy has brought into focus a fundamental tension that has been simmering since before President Donald...

The National Security Strategy of the United States of America

The White House on Dec. 5 released a 33-page document defining American national strategy. The document can be found here, and both friends and...

George Answers Your Questions: On America’s Reliability, Immigration and Education

Note: A reminder to send in questions and comments for George to answer. He can’t answer them if you don’t send them in –...

The Peculiar Economics of the Black Sea Borderland

In moments of geopolitical transition, borderlands are often the harbingers of new economic orders. They are areas of inherent tension because they mark the...

On the 28-Point Plan to Resolve Ukraine

Any discussion on resolving the war in Ukraine must begin with two fundamental realities: Russia is unable to achieve its military objective to defeat...

On the Global Gen Z Protests

Over the past few months, a wave of protests led by members of Generation Z has swept over the world. They have largely taken...

Russia’s New War of Attrition

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A battle is raging in Pokrovsk, located in the eastern Ukrainian region of Donetsk. It is part of Russia's attempt to encircle Ukrainian forces...

A Divided Ukraine and European Security

A few months from now will mark the fourth anniversary of Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, which started a war that has redefined European...

Ukraine as Viewed From Warsaw and Washington

Last week, I traveled to Washington, D.C., following a visit to Warsaw the week before. Both trips centered on Ukraine and how the war...

A Realist View of Europe’s ‘Drone Wall’

European capitals and NATO partners are getting serious about a “drone wall” for Europe’s eastern flank. Public pressure and a series of recent incursions...

Europe Reconsiders Its Approach to Sanctions Enforcement

Over the past week, a series of incidents underscored growing concerns over European security and hybrid threats. In Germany, Munich Airport was forced to...

How Cyber Escalation Is Changing Conflict

On Sept. 19-20, coordinated cyberattacks disabled airport check-in systems across Europe, stranding passengers and forcing airports onto manual backups. It was the most visible...

Why Haven’t Russians Revolted?

Throughout history, a certain pattern has emerged in times of war that looks something like this: A protracted conflict depletes the budget and resources...

Moldova’s ‘Peaceful Instability’

Though Moldova’s parliamentary election over the weekend may seem like a small-state affair, it is strategically significant because it gauges how much influence Russia...

Latest Posts

The European Peninsula is facing two interlocking crises: first, the fragmentation in the European Union due to diverging national interests and, second, a shift in the relationship between the peninsula and the rest of Eurasia.

Germany is the most powerful country in the European Union and economically dependent on its exports to the bloc. Therefore, Germany must maintain a cohesive eurozone and European Union, in order to safeguard its exports and shape the direction of Europe’s economic policies.

Europe suffers from regional divides with drastic employment and economic discrepancies between the north and south. An east and west divide, dating back to the Soviet era, also influence countries’ different outlooks towards foreign interactions.

Russia and the United States continue to have competing interests in Central and Eastern Europe.

Read Regional Assessment

Read Assessment of Germany

Required Reads: Europe

From our Forecast...

Inherent economic divisions will be aggravated by supply chain issues. Europe with Germany at its center will change into a Europe with no clear center.

Europe in our Memos

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Latest Posts

George Answers Your Questions: The Fate of Europe

The European Crisis: Origin and Future Dec. 15, 2025 Question: Europe today is similar to the 13 colonies that came together to oppose a powerful adversary....

Deep Discounts for Russian Crude

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(click to enlarge) Russia has sharply reduced its oil export prices, offering steep discounts on crude. Urals, the country’s flagship blend, was priced at $34.52...

Daily Memo: EU Promises Billions for Ukraine

Financial support. EU leaders agreed to provide Ukraine with a 90 billion-euro ($105 billion) loan to finance its military and economic needs for 2026-27,...

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