Americas

Military Challenges and Opportunities in the Arctic

The U.S.-Russia talks to end the conflict in Ukraine are really about redefining the overall U.S.-Russia relationship, a process that will require both to...

Trade Trends in Latin America and the Caribbean

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(click to enlarge) Last year, several countries across Latin America and the Caribbean saw substantial swings in export numbers. Argentina experienced an 18.1 percent increase...

Resurrection of the Keystone XL Pipeline

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(click to enlarge) U.S. President Donald Trump has announced plans to revive the Keystone XL Pipeline, reversing the Biden administration’s efforts to cancel it. The...

El Salvador’s Newfound Value to the US

There may be more than meets the eye behind U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio’s recent visit to El Salvador. Headlines focused on the...

The World in 2025

Editor's note: Below are the compiled links to our entire 2025 annual forecast. Please follow the links for quick navigation, or download the PDF...

Aluminum Prices and US Tariffs

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(click to enlarge) U.S. tariffs on Canada and Mexico, if implemented, will likely disrupt the global aluminum market. A similar pattern emerged during U.S. President...

2025 Forecast: United States

The United States’ goal is to preserve national security, economic well-being and internal stability in a world filled with countries pursuing the same ends,...

2025 Forecast: A World Without an Anchor

Throughout history, world order has been shaped by great powers. In the competition with them – and sometimes among them – lesser powers would...

A Coming Showdown Between the US and Venezuela

Last week, two seemingly independent events – the declaration of a state of emergency by the government in Bogota and the United States’ planned...

Graphic Essay: Argentina’s Milei Races Against Time

Argentina’s economy has undergone dramatic changes since President Javier Milei took office over a year ago. His “shock therapy” reforms, aimed at addressing the...

Canada’s Unusually Bad Situation

From a geopolitical perspective, the U.S.-Canadian relationship is enviable. The two countries lack the dramatic historical, cultural and religious differences that often lead to...

The Panama Canal: Hostage to the US-China Trade War?

In November 1906, Theodore Roosevelt became the first sitting U.S. president to make a diplomatic visit outside the continental United States, sailing to Panama...

Northbound Migration Through the Darien Gap

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(click to enlarge) Panama and Costa Rica lay along one of the most important transit routes for American migrants, the majority of whom are fleeing...

Graphic Essay: US Border Security

U.S. President-elect Donald Trump has already made clear that he plans a security crackdown on both the southern and northern borders. The main areas...

Exploring Mexico’s Options

The re-election of Donald Trump has brought Mexico’s relationship with the United States back to the fore. The president-elect has made clear on several...

The Global Economy Is Changing, and so Is Latin America’s

Of all the regions affected by the global economic restructuring currently underway, Eurasia has commanded the most attention. And rightly so – the enormous...

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Colonial governance, production systems and transportations routes heavily shaped the economic and political development of the region well in to its post-colonial era of independence.

The Western Hemisphere has been dominated by the United States since the start of the 20th Century.

South America has struggled to produce a regional leader partly because no single country embodies the necessary qualities to become one. Brazil has the most potential, thanks to the size of its of territory, population, natural resource deposits and economy. Argentina is a counterweight to Brazilian influence in.

The modern governments are actually young and relatively inexperienced democracies. They are still refining their social contracts with their citizens.

Read Regional Assessment

From our Forecast...

The U.S. will rely on public-private efforts to secure its influence in the region. It will also welcome economic engagements from allied nations like Japan or South Korea.

Americas in our Memos

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Latest Posts

Daily Memo: Istanbul Mayor Arrested, Trump and Putin Speak

Erdogan's rival targeted. Istanbul Mayor Ekrem Imamoglu, of the opposition Republican People’s Party, was detained on Wednesday, just days before his party was expected...

Engineering an End to the Ukraine War

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When the United States entered talks with North Vietnam near the end of the Vietnam War, it hadn’t been militarily defeated, but it had...

Daily Memo: Renewed Fighting in Gaza, Speculation on Trump-Putin Meeting

Hitting Hamas. Israel on Tuesday carried out its largest airstrikes on Hamas targets in Gaza since both sides agreed to a ceasefire in January....

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2025 Forecast: The World Without an Anchor

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