A Southeast Asian Homecoming

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China, Japan and the Korean Peninsula tend to overshadow Southeast Asia, a geographically confounding region that was, until very recently, also home to our very own Phillip Orchard. Now that he’s back, he, Jacob Shapiro and Cole Altom will discuss this oft-overlooked area. But first, they address the elephant in the room: the meeting in May between Kim Jong Un and Donald Trump.

We Need to Talk About Europe

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Now that Germany has finally formed a new government, the de facto leader of the EU can get back to being the de facto leader of the EU. But Italy has just elected into power parties that are less-than-friendly to Germany’s agenda. Jacob Shapiro and Cole Altom discuss how this peculiar era of nationalism is just one chapter in a much longer story about Europe. Sign up here for free updates on topics like these.

Making Sense of the Syrian War

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Syria is a mess. New alliances form as quickly as they fall apart. Cease-fires are agreed to and summarily ignored. Russians, Turks, Americans, Iranians, Kurds, Lebanese, Saudis and, of course, Syrians all have vested interests in outcome of the war. Jacob, Cole and Xander lay out what those interests are and catch up on what proved to be a very eventful week in northern Syria. Sign up for free updates on topics like this!

Trade Wars, Real Wars, China and America

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The accuracy of a media narrative depends on the motives of the agency that spins it. After previewing the week ahead, Jacob L. Shapiro and Cole Altom dissect Chinese media to get a sense of China’s military ambitions – and explain why Beijing has a lot of work to do before it can supplant Washington as the world’s leading power. Sign up here for free updates on topics like this.

But Why Not the Maldives?

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Why do we write about Romania but not Rwanda? Why don’t we cover the successes and failures of SpaceX? Director of Analysis Jacob L. Shapiro and Managing Editor Cole Altom return to talk about the things that don’t quite make it into our analytic framework. Sign up here for free updates on topics like these.

The State of the Islamic State

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Director of Analysis Jacob L. Shapiro and Managing Editor Cole Altom discuss one of the more brutal jihadist groups the Middle East has ever seen. For a deeper look, get the full report: The Rise and Fall of the Islamic State.

Turkey’s Invasion of Afrin

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Jacob Shapiro and Xander Snyder discuss the short and long-term strategic implications of Turkey’s invasion.

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What’s Going on in Iran?

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Allison Fedirka and Xander Snyder discuss the evolution of the most recent protests in Iran. Sign up here for free updates on topics like this.

The Islamic State in Afghanistan

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Dec. 29, 2017 Kamran Bokhari and Xander Snyder discuss the Islamic State’s presence in Afghanistan and its implications for South and Central Asia. Sign up here for free updates on topics like this.

2017 Annual Report Card Highlights

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Dec. 21, 2017 This week, GPF released our 2017 Report Card, complete with results on our forecasts from across the globe. Xander Snyder and Jacob L. Shapiro dive in to review our hits and our misses. Sign up here for free updates on topics like this.

Fighting More Familiar Enemies in the Middle East

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Dec. 15, 2017 Xander Snyder and Kamran Bokhari explain how traditional rivalries are returning now that the Islamic State is in decline. Sign up here for free updates on topics like this.

The Geopolitics of Jerusalem

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Dec. 8, 2017 Jacob L. Shapiro and Kamran Bokhari discuss why the Trump administration is moving the U.S. Embassy in Israel to Jerusalem and the implications for the Middle East. Sign up here for free updates on topics like this.