HomeFrom the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

Poetry and Forecasting

George Friedman -

Earlier this week, I wrote an analysis about China’s strategy, the kind of piece that is what is expected in this industry. I end the week with thoughts that are explicitly geopolitical but are foundational to writing. Geopolitics is about nations and strategy. My approach is to use geopolitics to forecast events. But underlying this […]

China’s Strategic Standpoint

George Friedman -
One of the hardest problems of foreign policy is developing an accurate evaluation of a potential adversary’s intentions and capabilities, which are frequently separate...

A Good Man Is Hard to Find

George Friedman -
Last week, I wrote about the disagreement over which course the United States should take in the fight against the coronavirus. I concluded by...

B-52s in the Middle East

George Friedman -
For all the world’s vastness and complexity, my attention is constantly drawn back to the Middle East, where there is much to think about....

COVID-19 and the American Climax

George Friedman -
On Tuesday, I received my first COVID-19 vaccine dose by driving over 100 miles to Waco, Texas, to a CVS Pharmacy where the vaccine...

The US, Iran and Bargaining Positions

George Friedman -
The Iranian government has announced that it will not attend the first round of negotiations over restoring the agreement that limited its ability to...

Know Your Enemy

George Friedman -
The most important thing in poker is knowing who you are playing against. You need to know his weakness – not all of them,...

America’s Iran Strategy

George Friedman -
President Barack Obama’s administration had a primary goal in the Middle East: It did not want Iran to become a nuclear power. It did...

Texas Weather

George Friedman -
Somewhere I heard the saying that climate is what you expect, and weather is what you get. I live in Texas and we certainly...

Speculating on China and Cuba

George Friedman -
From a military standpoint, China is in a difficult position. It is a trading power and needs access to the global oceans. Its significant...

The Crisis of the Medical Establishment

George Friedman -
It has been about a year since the world entered a medical crisis for which there had been no cure. For much of the...

Biden’s First Middle East Moves

George Friedman -
Last week, U.S. President Joe Biden took two steps in the Middle East. The first was that he notified Congress of his intention to...
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