HomeFrom the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

Canada, Mexico and Americaā€™s Reality

The United States lives in a fundamentally unique geopolitical reality. Itā€™s the only major power that doesnā€™t face the risk of a land war,...

The Election and My Book ā€“ Where We Stand

I wrote a book, ā€œThe Storm Before the Calm,ā€ a point I have beaten to death. The book is about the social, political and...

Prince Charles Says We Are Dead Meat

Prince Charles has announced that the U.N. Climate Change Conference in Glasgow will be ā€œthe last chance saloonā€ for the planet. The COP26, as...

Eisenhower and War

In my mind, Dwight Eisenhower was one of the great American presidents, and in particular, he was one of the few presidents who really...

Forecasting Time

Around November each year, we at GPF begin our forecasting process for the coming year. In a real sense, we are always forecasting, as...

In Search of the Normal

I have spent the past few weeks obsessing over the apocalypse of disappearing workers, lost Christmas presents, the pandemic that will not end, and...

Supply Chains: Our Parachute Moment

At the risk of beating a dead horse, Iā€™m writing about supply chains again. Ekaterina Zolotova and Phillip Orchard can explain why Russian-Chinese maneuvers...

Forecasting and Living

I started writing a book in 2015 that would eventually have the title ā€œThe Storm Before the Calm.ā€ In it, I identified a series...

Explanations for the Labor Shortage

The current breakdown of the global supply chain threatens to change the future of the world. If this worsens, the fabric of the global...

Beyond Bed, Bath & Beyondā€™s Supply Chains

Last week, Bed, Bath & Beyond stock was at $24 per share. It closed on Wednesday at $14. As an expert in markets, I...

Chinaā€™s Economic Crisis and Its Foreign Policy

China has reached a critical point that many countries often reach and that, however painful, is cleansing in the long term. Consider what happened...

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The Geopolitics of the American President

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