HomeFrom the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

Global Forecast for the Next Year

George Friedman -

This is not a detailed forecast of the fate of every country for 2024. Rather, it is an attempt to identify the main trends that will affect the future direction of the international system. The United States Note: Our longer, formal U.S. forecast was previously published. The United States remains an ineluctable factor in global […]

Fishing for the Fourth Institutional Cycle

George Friedman -
I have written a great deal about socio-economic cycles but far less on institutional cycles, specifically how the fourth institutional cycle in American history...

AUKUS in 2024

George Friedman -
The trilateral security partnership comprising the United States, the United Kingdom and Australia – known simply as AUKUS – is among the most interesting...

Europe Comes to Boil: the Balkans, Hungary and Russia

George Friedman -
A few months ago, when Gaza joined Ukraine as a theater of intense war, I wrote about another potential conflict emerging in the Balkans....

The Strategies of the Israel-Hamas War

George Friedman -
It is difficult to understand the strategy of a country at war sitting outside the command center. However, when analyzed from the initiation of...

2024 Annual Forecast: China

George Friedman -
Forecasting national behavior is built on continuums. One continuum is a nation’s history. Another is our analytic method. Simply looking at nations will not...

China and the Philippines Square Off

George Friedman -
The Philippines has long been an important component of Washington’s alliance network in the Asia-Pacific. Its geography is such that Manila can help to...

2024 Annual Forecast: America and War

George Friedman -
In our 2024 forecast published last week, where we laid out the domestic issues facing the United States, we said we do not foresee...

2024 Annual Forecast: The United States

George Friedman -
Forecasting national behavior is built on continuums. One continuum is a nation’s history. Another is our analytic method. Simply looking at nations will not...

Upcoming New Forecasts

George Friedman -
A while ago, I wrote about preparing a new batch of short-term and 20- to 30-year forecasts. We are now finalizing and readying them...

Remembering Henry Kissinger

George Friedman -
Henry Kissinger has died at age 100. He was never a man who could be mourned, nor one who would pass away quietly. I...

A Shift in the EU

George Friedman -
Last week’s election in the Netherlands produced a radical change. Traditionally, the Netherlands is among the most classically liberal states in Europe. But in...
1...151617...64Page 16 of 64

Latest Posts

Continue to the category