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From the Desk of George Friedman

The Origins of New US-Turkish Relations

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For several years, there has been a significant shift underway in U.S. strategy toward the Middle East, where Washington has consistently sought to avoid...

The Pressure on China

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The Chinese People’s Liberation Army has begun minor operations to try to quell the unrest in Hong Kong. This is a step that the...

The Geopolitical Logic of the US-China Trade War

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The dispute was decades in the making.

Is a Multipolar World Emerging?

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The U.S. is still the pre-eminent global power, whether the world likes it or not.

US Military Options in Iran

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The United States has openly accused Iran of being behind the drone and cruise missile attacks on Saudi Arabia’s largest oil refinery. Now the...

International Organizations Are Tools for Powerful Countries

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Nov. 15, 2017 Multilateral groupings are usually impotent, so why are there so many of them?

Modeling the US Reaction to the Coronavirus

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The United States is under enormous pressure. The nature of the particular pressure is unique, though pressure on the United States from various forces...

Midway: The Battle That Almost Lost the War

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June 7, 2017 Japan’s defeat at Midway was a freak, and that freak created the world we live in.

From China to India

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U.S.-China relations have been in decline for a long time. The United States had for years provided China with relatively free access to the...