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From the Desk of George Friedman

Command of the Sea

Command of the sea is the foundation of American national security. Adm. Alfred Thayer Mahan, the greatest strategist in American history, identified it as the core American interest (though he wrote before the war on terrorism began and before the development of nuclear weapons). The United States, he argued, can be threatened only by an […]

US-China Trade Talks and American Strategy

The United States is shifting from military to economic warfare.

D-Day and Stalin

Nearly 75 years after it was fought, D-Day remains one of the most vividly recalled battles in history. It was also one of the most decisive. There are those who will argue that the Allies would have won World War II regardless of the outcome of the Battle of Normandy. Indeed, similar arguments are made […]

The US, Iran and a New American Deployment

Iran’s influence has spread across the Middle East, and the U.S. is pushing back.

Iran and the Problem of Occupation Warfare

For the U.S., defeating the Iranian military wouldn’t be the end of the war.

The Battle for the Past

Whoever defines the past controls the present and future.

US Military Options in Iran

The United States has openly accused Iran of being behind the drone and cruise missile attacks on Saudi Arabia’s largest oil refinery. Now the...

China, Mexico and US Trade

China is no longer the United States’ top trade partner. What does this mean for Mexico?

The Hong Kong Extradition Bill and China’s Weakness

The proposed law is a sign that China isn’t as strong as it would like everyone to believe.

George Friedman’s Thoughts: China and a Global Economic Contraction

The protests in Hong Kong must be understood in the context of a global economic slowdown.

China’s President Is in Trouble

The Chinese president has failed to manage the country’s relationship with its most important trade partner.

Dissenting Opinions: On Mass Shootings in the United States

Jacob and George offer their thoughts on American gun culture.