Europe Redefined

The European Parliament elections are a benchmark for a continent in flux.

A Trip to Romania

The first time I visited post-communist Romania was in 2009, the same year my book “The Next 100 Years” was published. In it, I forecast that Russia would become increasingly aggressive and, over time, increasingly weak as its underlying economic problems manifested themselves. I also forecast that Ukraine would become the flashpoint between Russia and […]

1989-1992: A Global Pivot

It was a time that changed everything.

The Jerusalem Talks

Security officials from Russia, the U.S. and Israel are meeting next week to discuss regional developments.

Boris Johnson Enters Smiling

In driving a hard Brexit bargain, the European Union drove the U.K. into Johnson’s arms.

Recession, Synchronized and Desynchronized

Three of the world's largest economies are showing signs of a downturn.

US Military Options in Iran

The United States has openly accused Iran of being behind the drone and cruise missile attacks on Saudi Arabia’s largest oil refinery. Now the...

Visiting China

I can’t explain China. I don’t know it well enough, and sometimes it seems to me that the Chinese are experts on their country, but they’re experts that don’t agree. Still, China is an American adversary, and an adversarial relationship between these two countries is dangerous even if it doesn’t lead to war. Therefore, I […]

Is a Multipolar World Emerging?

The U.S. is still the pre-eminent global power, whether the world likes it or not.

Going to the Moon and Going to India

Last weekend marked the 50th anniversary of the Apollo 11 mission, the first manned space flight to the moon. In endless articles, observers are asking why no attempts have been made to land men on the moon since the Apollo program. In considering this, I think it’s useful to examine the U.S. and other space […]

George Friedman’s Thoughts: Millennials

Every generation believes it’s different than those that came before. Then, reality sets in.

International Organizations Are Tools for Powerful Countries

Nov. 15, 2017 Multilateral groupings are usually impotent, so why are there so many of them?