Americans are deeply divided, passions are running high, and many fear the Republic is failing. But is any of this actually new? In this week’s ClubGPF live discussion, GPF Chairman George Friedman revisited his book The Storm Before the Calm to explain where we are in America’s recurring 80-year institutional cycle. Drawing parallels to the […]
Earlier this month, we explained in our 2026 Forecast that the U.S. cannot maintain hostilities with a country on which it depends economically. Neither can China. In this week’s ClubGPF live discussion, János Csák, Former Minister of Culture and Innovation in Hungary, joined Chairman George Friedman once more to give a European perspective on the US' National Security Strategy as well as GPF's new 2026 Forecast, specifically our prediction that the United States and China will reach economic and military accommodations.
As tensions rise between Washington and Moscow, a new chessboard emerges—not in Eastern Europe, but in the Caribbean. From the US' war on drug cartels to Russia’s quiet buildup of influence in the region, old Cold War strategies are resurfacing in startling ways. For this week's ClubGPF live discussion, GPF Chairman George Friedman and GPF Analyst and Army veteran Andrew Davidson dove into the recent US deployments off the coast of Venezuela and the broader strategy of the U.S. in Latin America.
The United States, China and Russia are the three main powers of the current era that are vying for dominance on the global stage, all with their own sets of imperatives and challenges. In this month's ClubGPF live discussion, GPF Chairman George Friedman examines the three nations and the main issues they currently face: culture wars and political division in the US, a declining economy in China, and a frozen war in Russia. In our Q&A session, Club members asked about George's new book on geopolitics and the moon, the role of Southeast Asian countries in larger state actors, and how Russia could still be a great power as it continues pressing on with its war with Ukraine.
The evolution of both Palestine and modern-day Israel goes back centuries, its roots in the Ottoman Empire, to its evolutions during WWI and WWI to the emergence of modern Zionism and Arab nationalism. In this week's Club discussion, GPF Chairman George Friedman examines this complex history including his own personal history, plus Israel's struggles with strategic depth, what the future holds for Palestinians and Israelis.
Our theme for this year's Annual Forecast was A World Without an Anchor. As George Friedman explained earlier this year, historically, nations did not conduct themselves without aligning with or getting their bearings in relation to a power system that drove the world, an anchor. Now that we are more than halfway through 2025, this week's ClubGPF discussion is a chance to take stock of where nations are lining up, and where things will go from here.
In our Q&A Session, Club members asked about the geopolitical strategy and Trump's intentions for Greenland, how much the US needs Canada to help it control the Arctic, and Ukraine's interest in joining the EU.
The United States military has gone through many evolutions, from technological to structural, over the decades. Maintaining dominance in the Atlantic theatre has long remained a top strategic imperative. For this week's live discussion, George Friedman is joined by Richard Levine, someone who has been directly involved in creating defense policy at the National Security Council and at the Department of Defense, for a discussion on maritime superiority.
The recent escalation between Israel and Iran was not unexpected. As George Friedman recently wrote, there was never a possibility that Tehran could avoid detection or that the Israelis or the Americans would not destroy the nuclear facilities before they went operational. In this week's live discussion, George is joined by GPF contributors and Middle East experts Hilal Khashan and Kamran Bokhari to examine the situation and all its complexities within the region and beyond.
It's hard to find a region facing as much widespread turmoil as the Middle East, both historically and in the modern world. As Geopolitical Futures' contributing analyst Hilal Khashan predicts, the Middle East will continue to oscillate between established and rising regional powers, with more turbulent times ahead. Hilal joined George Friedman for this week's live discussion to focus on the Middle East, and to break down the US imperatives in the region, following Donald Trump's historic visit.
With our recent live discussions resulting in a variety of questions we did not have time to answer, this month's discussion was an opportunity to focus on your questions first. Topics ran the gamut of US politicians and their attitude towards Russia, whether there are countries capable of threatening the US Space Force, growing US-China tensions, and much more.
From the U.S., to Europe, China, the Middle East and Russia, relationships are being restructured due to changing geopolitical forces. In this week's live...
