The Strait of Hormuz has historically been a major geopolitical and geoeconomical chokepoint, and it has Club members asking what are, or could be, the alternatives to a critical trade corridor that’s become so volatile? And related to the ongoing conflicts in the region, what are the constraints and imperatives for Iran, the US, and Israel? On this week’s ClubGPF live discussion, George Friedman was joined by Kamran Bokhari to break down the wide-ranging questions and topics on the Middle East that have come in from Club members in an effort to understand the situation and all the primary and secondary players involved.
Warfare has transformed over recent decades, and as technologies have changed, control of the sea remains a key component to national security. GPF Chairman...
What are the most critical events happening in the world related to geoeconomics, and how do they relate to geopolitics? This week's ClubGPF live discussion brought together GPF Chairman George Friedman and Chief Geoeconomist Antonia Colibasanu for a focus on what we've been looking at in the world of geoeconomics as well as our upcoming product, GeoEconomic Lens. Club members asked about the future of the Strait of Hormuz, the shifting landscape of oil production and renewable energy, and naval power/control of the oceans as a critical intersection of geoeconomics and geopolitics.
Almost three weeks ago, the U.S. and Israel launched air strikes against Iran. Whether this will be a short or a long war is the question on everyone's minds. Considering there are many more questions ranging from what's to come of the Strait of Hormuz chokepoint to how the conflict is impacting and involving nations like China and Russia, for this week's live discussion we have focused entirely on Club member questions.
GPF Analysts Kamran Bokhari and Andrew Davidson joined Chairman George Friedman for an in-depth discussion on the war, where Club members asked about important themes such as Iran's protracted war strategy, U.S. military imperatives and what the IRGC would consider 'victory' in the conflict.
Earlier this month, we explained in our 2026 Forecast that the U.S. cannot maintain hostilities with a country on which it depends economically. Neither can China. In this week’s ClubGPF live discussion, János Csák, Former Minister of Culture and Innovation in Hungary, joined Chairman George Friedman once more to give a European perspective on the US' National Security Strategy as well as GPF's new 2026 Forecast, specifically our prediction that the United States and China will reach economic and military accommodations.
As tensions rise between Washington and Moscow, a new chessboard emerges—not in Eastern Europe, but in the Caribbean. From the US' war on drug cartels to Russia’s quiet buildup of influence in the region, old Cold War strategies are resurfacing in startling ways. For this week's ClubGPF live discussion, GPF Chairman George Friedman and GPF Analyst and Army veteran Andrew Davidson dove into the recent US deployments off the coast of Venezuela and the broader strategy of the U.S. in Latin America.
The United States, China and Russia are the three main powers of the current era that are vying for dominance on the global stage, all with their own sets of imperatives and challenges. In this month's ClubGPF live discussion, GPF Chairman George Friedman examines the three nations and the main issues they currently face: culture wars and political division in the US, a declining economy in China, and a frozen war in Russia. In our Q&A session, Club members asked about George's new book on geopolitics and the moon, the role of Southeast Asian countries in larger state actors, and how Russia could still be a great power as it continues pressing on with its war with Ukraine.
The evolution of both Palestine and modern-day Israel goes back centuries, its roots in the Ottoman Empire, to its evolutions during WWI and WWI to the emergence of modern Zionism and Arab nationalism. In this week's Club discussion, GPF Chairman George Friedman examines this complex history including his own personal history, plus Israel's struggles with strategic depth, what the future holds for Palestinians and Israelis.
Our theme for this year's Annual Forecast was A World Without an Anchor. As George Friedman explained earlier this year, historically, nations did not conduct themselves without aligning with or getting their bearings in relation to a power system that drove the world, an anchor. Now that we are more than halfway through 2025, this week's ClubGPF discussion is a chance to take stock of where nations are lining up, and where things will go from here.
In our Q&A Session, Club members asked about the geopolitical strategy and Trump's intentions for Greenland, how much the US needs Canada to help it control the Arctic, and Ukraine's interest in joining the EU.
The United States military has gone through many evolutions, from technological to structural, over the decades. Maintaining dominance in the Atlantic theatre has long remained a top strategic imperative. For this week's live discussion, George Friedman is joined by Richard Levine, someone who has been directly involved in creating defense policy at the National Security Council and at the Department of Defense, for a discussion on maritime superiority.
