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Daily Memo: European Leaders Gather in Yerevan

Analysis Geopolitical Futures - May 4, 2026

Partners abroad. European leaders are gathering on Monday for a summit of the European Political Community, a forum created in 2022 at the initiative...

The Significance of the Trump-Putin Talks

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George Friedman - May 4, 2026

Presidents Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin held a 90-minute telephone conversation on April 29 – notably, at Putin's behest. Past conversations of this kind...

George Answers Your Questions: The Iran War and How It Ends

George Friedman - May 2, 2026

The Iran War and How It Might End April 27, 2026 Question: The IRGC is dependent on money from oil sales and supplies from China. If...

Global Economic Trends

Geopolitical Futures - May 1, 2026

(click to enlarge) Though global economic growth has stabilized since the 2020 pandemic meltdown, it remains below pre-pandemic averages and unevenly distributed across regions. After...

What Kind of Regime Will Emerge From the Iran War?

Kamran Bokhari - May 1, 2026

The biggest question raised by the war in Iran is not how the conflict ends but what kind of regime ultimately emerges in Tehran....

Japan’s Evolving Security Posture

Victoria Herczegh - April 30, 2026

Earlier this month, Japan announced that it will allow the sale of lethal weapons systems to a wider group of partners abroad, explicitly framing...

Turkey’s Ascent From Dependence to Autonomy

Andrew Davidson - April 29, 2026

Situated at the intersection of the Black Sea, the eastern Mediterranean and the Middle East, Turkey occupies some of the most strategically valuable land...

A Century of Lebanese-Israeli Talks Without Peace

Hilal Khashan - April 28, 2026

For a century, Lebanese-Israeli negotiations have failed to bring about peace. Since its founding in 1920, Lebanon has refused to recognize Israel or support...