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Arab Recognition of Israel Redefines the Middle East

Last week, Morocco established diplomatic relations with Israel, joining three other Arab countries – the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain and Sudan – that normalized...

Daily Memo: US Government Agencies Hacked

Russia accused of cyberattack. Russian state-backed hackers are suspected of having breached the U.S. Treasury and Commerce departments, and likely other federal agencies, and...

Russia Plays Both Sides in Germany

On Dec. 8, a delegation from the AfD, a far-right German opposition party whose interests in the country tend to align with Russia’s, arrived...

Daily Memo: How to Get Sanctions and Avoid Them

U.S.-Turkey rift gets real. The U.S. administration could as soon as Friday sanction Turkey over its purchase last year of advanced Russian S-400 air...

Lebanon’s Failed Political System

Lebanon is celebrating its centennial in 2020, a year defined by existential economic crisis made worse by a pandemic and endemic political paralysis. The...

Daily Memo: Brexit Plan B

Brexit plan B. Wednesday’s meeting between British Prime Minister Boris Johnson and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen failed to bridge the gap...

Daily Memo: Western Sanctions Lining Up Against Turkey

Turkey faces sanctions. EU leaders are preparing sanctions on Turkish individuals and companies involved in drilling in the eastern Mediterranean, according to a draft...

In Ukraine, the UK Finds a Timely Ally

An unexpected and overlooked consequence of the Russian annexation of Crimea in 2014 was that it brought Ukraine militarily closer to the United Kingdom....

Daily Memo: Trade Deals, from Europe to Asia

EU still united on Brexit. British Prime Minister Boris Johnson will travel to Brussels within days to meet with European Commission President Ursula von...

The Institutional Crisis and COVID-19

In “The Storm Before the Calm,” I wrote of two crises coming to a head in the 2020s: a socio-economic crisis and an institutional...

Daily Memo: Assemble the Fleet

Revived 1st Fleet. The United States has confirmed plans to establish a naval fleet dedicated to the Indian Ocean basin and peripheral chokepoints in...

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COVID-19’s Impact on Labor

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(click to enlarge) A key trend in 2021 is the rebalancing of the global economic...

Daily Memo: Sanctions and Trade Deals

Happy anniversary to a trade deal. It's the one-year anniversary of the signing of...

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