The Inadequacy of Chinese Statistics

Jan. 6, 2016 Why is Beijing preventing Chinese institutions from selling stocks if there is so much foreign investment, and why is there such an increase in the level of capital flight?

The Significance and Insignificance of a North Korean Hydrogen Bomb

Jan. 6, 2016 If the North Koreans did indeed test a hydrogen bomb, it would be an impressive technical achievement but not a game changer.

The Oil Circle

Jan. 5, 2016 The decline of oil prices has affected many countries, but has begun to show conspicuously in Saudi Arabia.

The Bigger Picture in China’s Stock Market Dive

Jan. 5, 2016 Drops in China’s stock market highlight the problems the Chinese government will face in trying to maintain control of the country, as the economy weakens.

Islamic State Strikes Back After Loss of Ramadi

Jan. 5, 2016 The Islamic State’s attempts to take the Iraqi town of Haditha indicate that its position in Iraq has not weakened, despite its retreat in Ramadi.

Russia’s Strategy

Jan. 4, 2016

Iran and Saudi Arabia: Posturing and Reality

Jan. 4, 2016 Having failed to pacify Iraq, the United States has moved to a more complex strategy of trying to maintain a balance of power among major regional powers.

Impact of Chinese Market Decline

Jan. 4, 2016 The market decline indicates an underlying lack of confidence in the economy and in the state’s regulatory regime.

More Border Checks for Schengen Zone

Jan. 4, 2016 The refugee crisis has not only contributed to the ongoing fragmentation of Europe, but has also impacted the cohesion of Germany’s ruling coalition.

Importance of Saudi Arabia’s Mass Executions

Jan. 2, 2015 The Saudis are attempting to deal with both internal strains and external attacks and our model says their attempts to do so will have deleterious ramifications in 2016.

The Chinese Central Committee and the People’s Liberation Army Face Off

Dec. 31, 2015 Sources in China are reporting increased tension between the Communist Party and the People’s Liberation Army.

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