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The Houthis and the Israel-Iran Conflict

Israeli warplanes needed just under three hours on July 21 to travel 1,800 kilometers (1,100 miles) to their targets in Yemen’s port city of...

The US Makes Its Own Semiconductor Supply Chains

The semiconductor business is booming. According to estimates published in 2023 by consulting firm McKinsey & Company, the semiconductor market will exceed $1 trillion...

Turkey’s Uphill Battle to a Rapprochement With Syria

Since the 1950s, Turkey has expressed interest in the domestic affairs of Syria more than any other Arab country, driven by a long shared...

US Strategy in Europe

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One of the most important outcomes of the U.S. presidential race may be how it affects the United States' relationship with Europe. Donald Trump...

Explaining China’s Unusual Maritime Activity

China recently made several unusual military moves in the broader Pacific rim. From July 10 to July 15, the Shandong carrier strike group of...

Sudan’s Forever War

As Sudan’s civil war enters its 15th month, peace seems as distant as ever. The Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and the Rapid Support Forces...

Beijing’s Nervous Resolve Amid Third Plenum

China’s leadership is holding its third plenary session in Beijing this week, one of the most important political meetings of the year. It’s organized...

Explaining the China-NATO Spat

NATO recently issued a statement directly accusing China for the first time of supplying weapons to Russia. The alliance urged China to withdraw “all...

Searching for a Cause

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The instability in the United States predicted by our model continued this weekend with the attempted assassination of former President Donald Trump. It should...

US, Panama Mind the Darien Gap

The Darien Gap – once considered little more than a narrow, impenetrable jungle along Colombia’s border with Panama – has slowly become one of...

Why Iran’s Establishment Let a Reformist Become President

For the first time in nearly a generation, Iran has elected a reformist who is not a cleric as president. But Masoud Pezeshkian’s victory...

In Armenia, Russia Takes a Wait-and-See Approach

By all appearances, Russia is losing an ally in a part of the world where it can least afford to have enemies. Armenia, the...

Israel’s Graduated Escalation Against Hezbollah

Talk of war between Israel and Hezbollah has been making news since the latter began attacking the former in solidarity with Hamas. Israel has...

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