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Biden’s First Middle East Moves

George Friedman - February 9, 2021

Last week, U.S. President Joe Biden took two steps in the Middle East. The first was that he notified Congress of his intention to...

Daily Memo: Brussels’ Frustrations, Cuba’s Economic Opening

Geopolitical Futures - February 8, 2021

Russian resistance. EU foreign affairs chief Josep Borrell said Russia was not interested in a “constructive dialogue with the EU” following his visit to...

The Far East as an Obstacle to Russo-Chinese Relations

Ekaterina Zolotova - February 8, 2021

Russo-China ties have always been something of a MacGuffin in international affairs. Moscow and Beijing are neither bitter enemies nor close allies, so movement...

Daily Memo: Global Chip Crunch Continues to Bite

Geopolitical Futures - February 5, 2021

Chip crunch. Ford on Thursday said it would cut production at two U.S. plants where it builds the popular F-150 next week due to...

The Enigma of Dubai

Hilal Khashan - February 5, 2021

First-time visitors to Dubai get the impression that they about to enter to an austere Islamic city with strict codes of conduct. They are...

Daily Memo: US Presses Pause on Retrenchment

Geopolitical Futures - February 4, 2021

Drawdown slowdown. The Pentagon press secretary said the future U.S. force posture in Afghanistan was being assessed but would be based on conditions on...

Daily Memo: Diplomatic Dogfighting Over Taiwan

Geopolitical Futures - February 3, 2021

Diplomacy dogfight. Chinese incursions are continuing in Taiwanese air space, and so too are acknowledgements by Taipei that U.S. aircraft are operating in the...

The Coup in Myanmar: Why Now?

Phillip Orchard - February 3, 2021

For Myanmar, a country where the military brass has called the shots for most of its modern history, this week's putsch shouldn’t have come...

Daily Memo: Turkey’s Economic Momentum, Washington’s Nord Stream 2 Offer

Geopolitical Futures - February 2, 2021

Signs of recovery. Turkish exports increased by 2.5 percent year over year in January, reaching $15 billion – the highest January total in the...

The Institutionalization of Crises

George Friedman - February 2, 2021

About a year after the COVID-19 pandemic introduced its new rules of survival, my wife and I risked life and limb for the chance...

Daily Memo: Russian Demonstrations, Iranian Weapons

Geopolitical Futures - February 1, 2021

Navalny protest crackdown. More than 5,000 people were arrested over the weekend in another round of protests across Russia against the detention of opposition...