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The Crisis of NATO

Analysis George Friedman -
The crisis of NATO was triggered by the collapse of the Soviet Union. The alliance was created to protect the regions of Europe occupied...
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Europe’s Second Energy Reckoning

Antonia Colibasanu -
The joint U.S.-Israeli military assault on Iran triggered the largest oil supply disruption in the history of global energy markets. For Europe, barely four...
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China and the Iran Negotiations

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George Friedman -
The United States and Iran have been engaged in indirect negotiations in Pakistan on ending the Middle East conflict. Indirect talks are always complex...
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George Answers Your Questions: The Future of War Is Here

George Friedman -
The Future of War Is Here March 30, 2026 Question: How can you say the Russian soldiers are “trained, brave and capable,” as the Russian soldiers...
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Hormuz and the Slow-Burn Fertilizer Supply Shock

Ekaterina Zolotova -
Oil and gas are not the only critical commodities shut in by the Iran war and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz....
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Sketches of the Middle East After the Iran War

Kamran Bokhari -
The war in Iran is likely to wind down soon – at least in its current phase – making this a moment to step...
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What to Expect From the Trump-Xi Summit

Victoria Herczegh -
The White House recently confirmed May 14 as the long-anticipated date for President Donald Trump and President Xi Jinping’s next summit in Beijing. The...
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What to Know About the Artesh, Iran’s Conventional Military

Andrew Davidson -
Rather than a single, unified military force, Iran operates a two-headed machine comprising the conventional armed forces, known as the Artesh, and the more...
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The Future of War Is Here

FREE
George Friedman -
In my book “The Future of War,” which was published in 1996, I wrote that the future of warfare would be based on unmanned...
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George Answers Your Questions: Beyond Iran: China, Russia and Europe

George Friedman -
Beyond Iran: China, Russia and Europe March 23, 2026 Question: Isn’t the Trump administration’s real goal in the Iran war to limit China’s future capability to...
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China’s Fertilizer Diplomacy in a Time of Energy Shock

Victoria Herczegh -
The breakdown in energy and fertilizer markets resulting from the war in the Middle East has been uncomfortable for China, but it’s been worse...
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Disinformation: A New Battlespace for Democracy

Ronan Wordsworth -
Democracies are inherently ill-prepared to deal with the proliferation of information warfare. While state-sponsored propaganda is by no means new, the digital age has...
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How Iran Is Repricing Geography

Antonia Colibasanu -
Last week, the International Maritime Organization submitted a proposal to protect shipping in the Persian Gulf that’s modeled on the Black Sea grain initiative,...
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