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Hungary and Europe

George Friedman -
Viktor Orban, after 16 years as prime minister of Hungary, has lost an election and will soon be replaced by Peter Magyar. Orban was...
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The Future of Nuclear Modernization

Andrew Davidson -
During the Cold War, there was a certain logic to the nuclear balance of power that kept things relatively orderly. The ability to strike...
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War and the Principles of the Negotiation Process

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George Friedman -
All wars end. Sometimes, the end is reached when one side achieves its goals, which can range from a limited victory to the conquest...
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George Answers Your Questions: The Crisis of NATO, and China and the Iran Negotiations

George Friedman -
The Crisis of NATO April 8, 2026 Question: For decades NATO has maintained that it is a defensive alliance, and this has been a central argument...
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Lebanon’s Role in Turkey’s Vision for the Eastern Mediterranean

Hilal Khashan -
In recent years, Turkey has shown considerable interest in Lebanon, a country it sees as critical to the region’s economic and security future. President...
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The Iran War and the Rewiring of West Asia

Kamran Bokhari -
Though far from over, the war in Iran appears to be decelerating, if not yet achieving a decisive resolution. The Islamic Republic has survived,...
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The Crisis of NATO

George Friedman -
The crisis of NATO was triggered by the collapse of the Soviet Union. The alliance was created to protect the regions of Europe occupied...
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Europe’s Second Energy Reckoning

Antonia Colibasanu -
The joint U.S.-Israeli military assault on Iran triggered the largest oil supply disruption in the history of global energy markets. For Europe, barely four...
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China and the Iran Negotiations

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George Friedman -
The United States and Iran have been engaged in indirect negotiations in Pakistan on ending the Middle East conflict. Indirect talks are always complex...
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George Answers Your Questions: The Future of War Is Here

George Friedman -
The Future of War Is Here March 30, 2026 Question: How can you say the Russian soldiers are “trained, brave and capable,” as the Russian soldiers...
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Hormuz and the Slow-Burn Fertilizer Supply Shock

Ekaterina Zolotova -
Oil and gas are not the only critical commodities shut in by the Iran war and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz....
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Sketches of the Middle East After the Iran War

Kamran Bokhari -
The war in Iran is likely to wind down soon – at least in its current phase – making this a moment to step...
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