Azerbaijan, a key swing player in the Caucasus, may be losing its balance. Russia, Turkey, Iran and the U.S. all compete for influence in the country, but shifting dynamics in the region are threatening to undermine Baku’s strategy at a time when the Azerbaijani regime is feeling insecure domestically.
On Nov. 27, merely three days after Turkey shot down a Russian military jet, Turkish Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu visited Baku. On Dec. 3-4, Turkish Prime Minister Ahmet Davutoglu is expected to visit Azerbaijan as well. Following the shooting down of the Russian plane, Azerbaijani officials rushed to proclaim their friendship for both countries and the need to reduce tensions. Azerbaijan, however, is caught in a complex regional web: the country enjoys a close relationship with Turkey, cooperating closely on economic and military matters. Nevertheless, while Russia has a strong alliance with Azerbaijan’s chief rival, Armenia, with Moscow maintaining a military presence insid
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