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Phillip Orchard

Phillip Orchard
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Phillip Orchard is an analyst at Geopolitical Futures. Prior to joining the company, Mr. Orchard spent nearly six years at Stratfor, working as an editor and writing about East Asian geopolitics. He’s spent more than six years abroad, primarily in Southeast Asia and Latin America, where he’s had formative, immersive experiences with the problems arising from mass political upheaval, civil conflict and human migration. Mr. Orchard holds a master’s degree in Security, Law and Diplomacy from the Lyndon B. Johnson School of Public Affairs, where he focused on energy and national security, Chinese foreign policy, intelligence analysis, and institutional pathologies. He also earned a bachelor’s degree in journalism from the University of Texas. He speaks Spanish and some Thai and Lao.

Xi Walks the Line Between Reform and Revolution

Fixing the problems in China’s economy entails risks to the Communist Party’s power that the president simply isn’t willing to take.

Will Abe’s Article 9 Revisions Fly?

Japan’s Constitution is distinctly anti-war – but naval developments suggest a changing tide.

In the US-China Trade War, a Cease-fire Ends Nothing

Long-term economic competition is at the mercy of even longer-term geopolitical competition.

The Philippines Makes the Most of China’s Interest

Manila may be warming to Beijing, but not enough to solve China’s maritime access problems.

The Future of the INF Doesn’t Matter Much for the Pacific

In or out of the treaty, the U.S. probably will have about the same capabilities and constraints in the region.

China and Japan: Partners on the ‘New Silk Road’

Cooperation is starting to make more sense as costs, and risks, soar.

What’s at Stake in Sri Lanka’s Government Shake-up

Both Beijing and New Delhi have been trying to curry favor with Colombo for years.

India’s Own String of Pearls

New Delhi is boosting its defense presence across the Indo-Pacific, as Beijing’s footprint also grows.

South Korea Prepares for a Future Without the US

Seoul’s long-term goals for North Korea are incompatible with Washington’s, and sooner or later it will have to strike out on its own.

The US Plays the Long Game in the South China Sea

Washington is content to accept the status quo in the region, so long as Beijing does as well.

China’s Unity in the Face of a Trade War

The economic cost is likely tolerable, but there’s a bigger issue at stake.

Japan: A Trade War That’s Easy to Avoid

Tokyo just wants to get this fight over with.