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Phillip Orchard

Phillip Orchard
Phillip Orchard is an analyst at Geopolitical Futures. Prior to joining the company, Mr. Orchard spent nearly six years at Stratfor, working as an editor and writing about East Asian geopolitics. He’s spent more than six years abroad, primarily in Southeast Asia and Latin America, where he’s had formative, immersive experiences with the problems arising from mass political upheaval, civil conflict and human migration. Mr. Orchard holds a master’s degree in Security, Law and Diplomacy from the Lyndon B. Johnson School of Public Affairs, where he focused on energy and national security, Chinese foreign policy, intelligence analysis, and institutional pathologies. He also earned a bachelor’s degree in journalism from the University of Texas. He speaks Spanish and some Thai and Lao.

Will the US Coast Guard Enter the South China Sea ‘Grey...

An incursion into the area by the U.S. Coast Guard could cause an escalation the U.S. would rather avoid.

In China, Yet Another Course Correction

Beijing is taking another stab at regulating the financial sector.

How the Trade War Won’t End

Washington wants to cut a deal now, but Beijing is playing the long game.

When and Why the Suppliers of Oil Matter

More often than not, it doesn’t matter where oil comes from. But the exceptions to this rule can be critical.

Why India and Pakistan Avoided Nuclear War

The logic that has governed nuclear brinksmanship since the advent of nuclear weapons is still in place today.

The US and North Korea Meet Again

Little has changed since the first Trump-Kim summit. Could the two sides be settling for the status quo?

The Philippines Tries to Save a Treaty

What are the security options for a country that can dictate terms to neither friend nor foe?

China’s Modernization Plan: The Blueprint and the Backlash

“Made in China 2025” promises to help Beijing dominate the high-tech world, but it has raised suspicions in the West.

5G, China and the Race to Dominate High-Tech

How Beijing plans to dominate 5G technology, and how the West plans to stop it.

The US-China Trade Fight Enters a New Round

Whether the two sides can come to a deal, and how meaningful it will be, depends in part on just how much the spat contributes to their problems.

A Second Chance for the TPP

The new trade agreement has the same goals as its predecessor – but it’s missing one key member.

In China, Manufacturers Feel the Heat of the Trade War

The world’s second-largest economy is embroiled in a trade war. That could change the calculus for firms doing business there.