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Jacob L. Shapiro

Jacob L. Shapiro
Jacob L. Shapiro is a geopolitical analyst who explains and predicts global trends. He is the director of analysis for Geopolitical Futures, a position he has held since the company’s founding in 2015. He oversees a team of analysts, the company’s forecasting process and the day-to-day analysis of important geopolitical developments. Mr. Shapiro is a regular speaker at international conferences and has appeared both in print and on television as an expert on international affairs in such places as MSNBC, CNBC, the New York Times and Fox News. Prior to Geopolitical Futures, Mr. Shapiro worked at Stratfor as an analyst and as the director of the operations center. He joined Geopolitical Futures to help found a new company dedicated to publishing excellent analysis and accurate forecasts based on the geopolitical method Dr. Friedman pioneered. Mr. Shapiro holds a master’s degree from Oxford University, where he won an award for his dissertation on the link between philosophy and mysticism in 20th century Jewish thought. He also holds a bachelor’s degree from Cornell University in Near Eastern studies.

The Predictive Power of Demography

History suggests the conventional wisdom about demographics and national power may be wrong.

US-Israel Relations: A Return of Agency

U.S. and Israeli interests have diverged since the Cold War ended, but they are now bending back toward a similar path.

The Coral Sea: The Mirror Image of the South China Sea

Australia, like China, is militarizing the waters off its eastern coast.

The Once and Future Macedonia

Future relations between Greece and Macedonia depend on mutual interests, not new names.

European Muslims: A Demographic Opportunity

The future of the EU, and of countries like France and Germany, will be shaped by whether these countries can assimilate Muslims.

The Song Remains the Same in Syria

Russia can’t afford to make an enemy of Israel right now.

9/11 and the Islamic Civil War

The World Trade Center was collateral damage in a larger conflict.

A Sea Change in the Security of the South Pacific

Small countries have been caught in the current of great power politics.

The French Question

For France, keeping Europe together isn’t as important as keeping Germany engaged on French terms.

Italy: The EU’s Next Big Test

If Brussels tries to treat Italy the way it did Greece, there might not be much of an EU left to govern.

Serbia, Kosovo and the Prospect of Partition

Their presidents are moving forward with the most serious attempt yet to resolve their long-running conflict.

NAFTA by Any Other Name

The negotiations with Mexico have ended. Talks with Canada will now begin.