Israel/Palestine Conflict

The fighting that erupted between Israel and Hamas on Oct. 7 was no ordinary flare-up. It shattered the relative calm observed in the Middle East over the past few of years – a result of Israel’s efforts to reclaim its international status; of Iran’s efforts to reconcile with its neighbors; and of new alignments slowly forming among erstwhile enemies. Regional leadership and power dynamics are directly at stake, as is the potential shape of the Middle East itself.

Featured Content

The State of the Israeli-Gaza Conflict

Analysis George Friedman -
The origins of the modern Arab-Israeli conflict are pretty well known. Gaza, the narrow strip of land running to the Sinai Peninsula, was originally...
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The Drumbeat of War in the Middle East

Analysis Hilal Khashan -
Threats of impending war have permeated the Middle East since Israel’s establishment in 1948. Though Egypt made peace with Israel in 1978 and Jordan...
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The Eclipse of the Palestinian Question

Analysis Hilal Khashan -
Until the 1970s, the Palestinian question had preoccupied the Arab world since the creation of Israel in 1948. Public figures and ordinary Arabs were...
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West Bank Violence Stalls Arab-Israeli Normalization

Analysis Hilal Khashan -
Last month, three senior U.S. officials visited Israel and the Palestinian Territories to try to avert a third Palestinian intifada. National Security Adviser Jake...
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Recent Analysis: Israel & Palestine

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Daily Memo: US Weapons for Israel, China-Serbia Trade Deal

Analysis Geopolitical Futures -
Waning support. The United States last week delayed the delivery of bombs to Israel over concerns they could be used in an offensive on...
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The Myth of the ‘Axis of Resistance’

Analysis Hilal Khashan -
The term “axis of resistance” was first coined as the United States invaded Iraq in 2003. Though the occupation allowed Iran to gain influence...
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Daily Memo: Iranian Outsourcing, Israeli Forces in Rafah

Analysis Geopolitical Futures -
Weapons in Yemen. Iran is building drone and ballistic missile factories in Yemen to avoid targeting by future U.S. and Israeli attacks, Kuwaiti newspaper...
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Daily Memo: Russian Drills, Xi in France

Analysis Geopolitical Futures -
Russian response. Russia announced that it will hold drills simulating the use of tactical nuclear weapons after France and the United Kingdom made comments...
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Daily Memo: US Reaches Out to Benin, Georgia Refuses US Invite

Analysis Geopolitical Futures -
Bolstering ties. The head of U.S. Africa Command, Gen. Michael Langley, is visiting Benin to strengthen relations with the West African country. The United...
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Daily Memo: New Saudi Plan, Ukrainian Defenses

Analysis Geopolitical Futures -
Plan B. Saudi Arabia is reportedly pushing for a modified security pact deal with the United States without signing a normalization agreement with Israel....
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Daily Memo: Gaza Update, South Korea-Australia Talks

Analysis Geopolitical Futures -
Moving forward. Israel is considering sending a delegation, led by Mossad chief David Barnea, to Cairo in the coming days to discuss a cease-fire...
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Daily Memo: Protests in Georgia, Russia’s Presence in Africa

Americas Geopolitical Futures -
Georgian unrest. Protests erupted in the Georgian capital of Tbilisi on Sunday against a bill that would force non-governmental organizations and media outlets that...
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The New Imbalance of Power in the Middle East

Analysis Kamran Bokhari -
The strategic situation in the Middle East is a culmination of Arab states’ decades-long failure to drive regional security. The Cold War, non-Arab regional...
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For the US, 2024 Isn’t 1973

FREE
Analysis George Friedman -
Editor’s note: The rash of student protests throughout the United States is, however you feel about them, a result of America’s unwavering support for...
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Israel’s Iron Wall Doctrine

Analysis Hilal Khashan -
Zeev Jabotinsky was a highly influential figure in Israeli history as a co-founder of the Jewish National Fund and the Jewish Legion who served...
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Daily Memo: Strike on Iran, Security Concerns in Russia

Analysis Geopolitical Futures -
Retaliation. Israel launched an airstrike on Iran early Friday morning in response to Iran’s attack on Israeli targets on April 14. An Iranian air...
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Latest Posts

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Audio & Video

The Changing Landscape of Threats | ClubGPF Preview with George Friedman and Rear Admiral Doug Fears

FREE
Video Geopolitical Futures -
Geopolitical and national security threats are constantly changing and evolving, sometimes it’s hard to keep up. In this ClubGPF live discussion, Rear Admiral (ret) Douglas Fears, Former U.S. Homeland Security and Counterterrorism Advisor to the President joined GPF Chairman George Friedman to discuss a wide range of threats from cyber to denial of service, malign influences in social media and ballistic missile defense.
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Turmoil in the Middle East | ClubGPF Preview with George Friedman and Hilal Khashan

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Video Geopolitical Futures -
Middle East expert Hilal Khashan wrote in his January 23rd piece titled ‘The Middle East as a Powder Keg’ that resolving the region’s issues will be on hold pending resolution of the conflict in Gaza. In a recent ClubGPF live discussion, Dr. Khashan was joined by GPF Chairman George Friedman to discuss current conditions, why Israel is reluctant to make any kind of deal, and what a Palestinian state could look like if one was created.
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