Your Source for
Geopolitical Forecasting

Analyzing the forces that drive nations’ behavior

  • Daily Memos
  • Multimedia
  • Analyses
  • Forecasts

Welcome to Geopolitical Futures

We write for the learned public: for those of you who want to understand the world you live in and are citizens of every country, for the public engaged in all walks of life. We believe that democracy can survive only if there is a segment of society that is not caught up in the passions of the moment, but is eager to look at the world as it is. I and my team may have our personal beliefs, but in our work we strive to be objective and indifferent to the opinions swirling around the world. We hope you’ll join us in our quest.

- George Friedman,
Founder, Geopolitical Futures

Forecasts

From George Friedman’s Best Selling book:

The Next 100 Years

(published 2009)

For the next generation until roughly 2020, Russia’s primary concern will be reconstructing the Russian state and reasserting Russian power in the region… The Russians must dominate Belarus and Ukraine for their basic national security… If they were to fall into an enemy’s hands –for example, join NATO- Russia would be in mortal danger.

Know What’s Ahead:

The Road to 2040

Geopolitical Futures predicts the actions nations will take based on global cycles and patterns of conflict. Our forecasts highlight processes that will have lasting consequences and broad geopolitical impact.

Our forecast:

  1. Reveals the underlying forces driving global behavior
  2. Explains how the present fits into longer-term geopolitical processes
  3. Shows which countries are on the rise
  4. Anticipates shifts in the global economy and trade

OUR COMMITMENT TO YOU

Unbiased, Objective Reports

We give you a radically non-ideological perspective, based on a different view of the world. Our selection of what’s important derives from geopolitical trends, not from the media or online chatter.

Intelligence Analysis

We use intelligence analysis to discover the small things that will define the future. Geopolitics defines the broad thrusts; intelligence analysis tracks its movements.

Successful Forecasting

Our forecasting model is based on the assumption that impersonal forces – things like geography, politics, economics, military capability and demography – govern world leaders, not the other way around. It’s an important distinction you don’t see anywhere else.

Our Content

As a Geopolitical Futures subscriber, you’ll receive regular updates on what’s important today and what’s to come in the future. This includes daily in-depth Analysis from our global team of analysts, and a concise Daily Memo to give you exactly what is geopolitically important today.

FREE Featured Content

Daily Memo: US, UK, Australia Forge New Security Pact

FREE
Joining forces. British, Australian and U.S. leaders announced a new security partnership for the Indo-Pacific on Wednesday. The trilateral “AUKUS” program will focus on...

The Future of NATO’s Strategic Concept

FREE
2022 will bring two major diplomatic events for the trans-Atlantic community. First, in March, the European Union will adopt its Strategic Compass, a document...

Podcast: Talking Geopolitics

 Subscriber-only Analysis 

Daily Memo: Inflation in Europe, Energy Firm Seizure in Russia

Inflation in Europe. Annual inflation in the eurozone reached 8.6 percent in June, according...

Daily Memo: NATO’s Priorities, Turkey’s Trade Deficit

NATO priorities. NATO named China as one of its strategic priorities for the first...

George Friedman

Homelands

I am on a train from Budapest to Vienna. Last night, I delivered a speech and did something I...

Warsaw to Budapest

FREE
The trip from Warsaw to Budapest is a trip between two realities. Warsaw is not quite on a war...

Understanding Our Geopolitical Model

1
Information Collection

Extensive open-source information collection keeps us abreast of world events no matter how obscure. It draws from English and foreign language sources and includes traditional media as well as government, institutional and other primary source report from all over the world.

2
Strategic Intelligence

We make sense of the world by overlaying collected information with our model. Our model tells us how to expect a country to behave based on what it must have in order to remain secure, the limits imposed on it and the means at its disposal to take action.

3
Net Assessment

The net assessment is the current snapshot of a country’s position and power at a particular moment in time.  It reflects the realities facing a country in terms of what cannot be done and what must be done in the present, thereby enabling us to predict its future behavior.

Understand the Issues That Are Shaping the World's Future

Choose your membership

Save 20%

ANNUAL SUBSCRIPTION

$ 49 /yr
then $69 annually
  • Access to all content
  • Daily Geopolitical Analysis
  • Geopolitical Forecasts
  • Forecast Insights

    PLUS Special Report:
    The Global Economy: Commodities Crisis

    PDF download immediately after purchase

Club Member

$ 299 /yr

Club Membership +
Subscription

  • Access to all content
  • Daily Geopolitical Analysis
  • Geopolitical Forecasts
  • Forecast Insights
  • Special Report:
    The World Explained in Maps
    Club Member Perks
  • Bi-weekly Video discussions
    With George and GPF analysts
  • Access to Discussion Forum
    Discuss and debate Geopolitics with the ClubGPF community
  • Access to all Live Discussion Recordings
  • Membership in our Special Series Discussions
    Including our Series on Geopolitics and Economics
  • Other exclusive content
    Includes Podcasts+ and a Map room

For information about site license and multi-user options for organizations, governments, corporations, and libraries please contact us at (e-mail address hidden - enable JavaScript to display).

Get Geopolitical Futures FREE newsletter

Understanding Our Geopolitical Model
Sign up now and receive our special report Understanding our Geopolitical Model

Get weekly analysis from New York Times bestselling author George Friedman and our global team of analysts, plus special offers.