Your Source for
Geopolitical Forecasting

Analyzing the forces that drive nations’ behavior

  • Daily Memos
  • Briefs
  • Analyses
  • Forecasts

Welcome to Geopolitical Futures

We write for the learned public: for those of you who want to understand the world you live in and are citizens of every country, for the public engaged in all walks of life. We believe that democracy can survive only if there is a segment of society that is not caught up in the passions of the moment, but is eager to look at the world as it is. I and my team may have our personal beliefs, but in our work we strive to be objective and indifferent to the opinions swirling around the world. We hope you’ll join us in our quest.

- George Friedman,
Founder, Geopolitical Futures


Unbiased, Objective Reports

We give you a radically non-ideological perspective, based on a different view of the world. Our selection of what’s important derives from geopolitical trends, not from the media or online chatter.

Intelligence Analysis

We use intelligence analysis to discover the small things that will define the future. Geopolitics defines the broad thrusts; intelligence analysis tracks its movements.

Successful Forecasting

Our forecasting model is based on the assumption that impersonal forces – things like geography, politics, economics, military capability and demography – govern world leaders, not the other way around. It’s an important distinction you don’t see anywhere else.


Geopolitical Forecasts

Geopolitical Futures predicts the actions nations will take based on global cycles and patterns of conflict. Our annual forecast highlights processes that will have lasting consequences and broad geopolitical impact.
Our forecast:

  1. Reveals the underlying forces driving global behavior
  2. Explains how the present fits into longer-term geopolitical processes
  3. Shows which countries are on the rise
  4. Anticipates shifts in the global economy and trade

Our Content

As a Geopolitical Futures subscriber, you’ll receive regular updates on what’s important today and what’s to come in the future. This includes real-time Briefs on the world’s most pressing geopolitical events, daily in-depth Analysis from our global team of analysts, and a concise Daily Memo to give you exactly what is geopolitically important today.

FREE Featured Content

Brief: Italy Keeps Its Options Open

Background: As the pandemic continues to wreak havoc on European economies, it’s also taking a toll on European unity. After taking the lead on...

Daily Memo: US and Israel Discuss Iran, Taiwan Deploys Rockets to South China Sea

Iran talks. Top Israeli defense officials will head to Washington later this month to discuss the Iran nuclear deal. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu...

India’s Trump Card Against China

Despite its enormous potential, India is by no means an inevitable counterweight to Chinese ambitions in the Indian Ocean. The country's immense domestic needs...

Podcast: Talking Geopolitics

Understanding China

 Subscriber-only Analysis 

Daily Memo: Putin Warns the West, Prague Calls for Backup

The state of Putin’s nation. In his annual address to the Federal Assembly, Russian...

Uruguay in the Spotlight

After a comparatively hands-off approach to Latin America after the Cold War, the United...

George Friedman

Remembering al-Qaida

The United States invaded Afghanistan 20 years ago, soon after the attack on Sept. 11, 2001. By 2008, then-President...

Texas on My Mind

Last weekend, my wife and I went to the town of Bandera, in the western part of the Texas...

Understanding Our Geopolitical Model

Information Collection

Extensive open-source information collection keeps us abreast of world events no matter how obscure. It draws from English and foreign language sources and includes traditional media as well as government, institutional and other primary source report from all over the world.

Strategic Intelligence

We make sense of the world by overlaying collected information with our model. Our model tells us how to expect a country to behave based on what it must have in order to remain secure, the limits imposed on it and the means at its disposal to take action.

Net Assessment

The net assessment is the current snapshot of a country’s position and power at a particular moment in time.  It reflects the realities facing a country in terms of what cannot be done and what must be done in the present, thereby enabling us to predict its future behavior.

Understand the Issues That Are Shaping the World's Future

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  • Access to all content
  • Daily Geopolitical Analysis
  • Annual Geopolitical Forecast
  • Forecast Insights

    The World Explained in Maps

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$ 299 /yr

$249 (Club Membership) +
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  • Access to all content
  • Daily Geopolitical Analysis
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  • Forecast Insights
  • Special Report:
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    Club Member Perks
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    Discuss and debate Geopolitics with the ClubGPF community
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    View exclusive videos and recorded video discussions
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    Includes Podcasts+ and a Map room

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